Manchester City have the most likely chance of keeping a clean sheet this week with a 56.26% chance. No doubt most of us think this should be a lot higher given how terrible Bournemouth have been this season. Spurs got an absolute thumping last week but have a 51.81% chance of stopping an inform Burnley from scoring. The surprise package of the week is Southampton.They face Huddersfield and also have a 51.81% chance of keeping a clean sheet.
A common theme with the bookies is ” Whoever plays Man City has the lowest chance of keeping a clean sheet”. Bournemouth, as expected, are the lowest in the table with only a 4.42% chance of stopping City. Realistically it should be 0.42%. Many of us start our Christmas holidays on Friday so we’re in for a treat with Arsenal V Liverpool playing at 19:45. Unfortunately, if anyone has any of these defenders the clean sheet is unlikely for both teams. Arsenal have a 23.00% chance, whilst Liverpool have a 20.75% chance.
|Team||Implied Probability||Average Odds||Max Odds||Exp. Points|