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OddsOnFPL – Gameweek 18 Preview #FPL

Hi everyone, this is a weekly blog post where we document changes to our team based on bookie’s odds. We have been doing this since game week one and have shared with you our progress and regression thus far. This is not a wildcard XI, or a team of the best possible players, this is an actual team which we have had since GW1 and have made changes to throughout the season. Currently, we’re 530,688th in the world and aim to be top 1% by the end of the season with the help of the bookies. To view the team click the following link: OddsonFPLTeam

We start off by fixing one of the worst transfers in FPL history by getting rid of Davison Sanchez from Spurs. Thanks to the two free transfers we were able to make two this week and improve another glaring issue in the shape of Gabriel Jesus. The two transfers we made in this week were Kabasele from Watford at 4.6m and Lukaku at 11.3m. With Lukaku replacing the 10.3m attacker and Kabasele replacing the 6.0m rated Sanchez. With Sanchez out of the fixture and the heartache that comes attached with rotations of Man City our XI looks a lot safer.

Kabasele is also a 4.61 point raise over Sanchez and allowed us to bank 1.4m, consider his next 4 fixtures are against weaker opposition, the defender could pick up some decent returns. Lukaku is the 3rd highest expected point scorer this week behind Morata and Lacazette. With his fixtures relatively easy and Hazard coverage on Chelsea it gives us a point ride of 0.49 over Gabriel Jesus.

With Hazard and Mane being our most expectant point scorers the captaincy goes to Hazard after blanking twice. The Belgian comes up against a Southampton side which couldn’t stop scoring against Leicester at home, you could expect some goals in this fixture for Chelsea. With his expectancy being 6.03, 0.56 points more than Mane he is this week’s captain.

Overall our expected points tally is 55.34. But beware, there may be rotation, fortunately we have 2 players who are expected to play on our bench. As always. Good luck.


4.04 + 4.26 + 4.23 + 3.86 + 4.61 + 5.47 + 12.06 + 3.79 + 3.82 + 4.58 + 4.62

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Thibaut Courtois – Expected Points 4.04

Nicolas Otamendi – Expected Points 4.26

Harry Maguire – Expected Points 4.23

Stephen Ward – Expected Points 3.86

Christian Kabasele – Expected Points 4.61

Sadio Mane(VC)– Expected Points 5.47

Eden Hazard(C)  – Expected Points 12.06

Raheem Sterling – Expected Points 3.79

Wilfried Zaha – Expected Points 3.82

Roberto Firmino – Expected Points 4.58

Romelu Lukaku – Expected Points 4.62


Rob Elliot – Expected Points 2.4

Tammy Abraham – Expected Points 3.4

Ruben Loftus-Cheek – Expected Points 3.22

Chancel Mbemba – Expected Points 0.69

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