Expected Points Featured

According to the Bookies: Expected Points GW16

I swear, I’ve been arguing all week with Shano about us not getting in Salah for the OddsOnFPL team due to me doubting that the Egyptian will be more likely to score against Everton than Dele Alli would be against Stoke City. But Mohamed Salah, unsurprisingly to pretty much everyone but me, comes up trumps as this week’s most likely point scorer. Salah has a point expectancy of 6.4, making him this week’s undoubted captaincy choice.

As a prelude, the point expectancies are gotten from players which are expected to start and an average of their goalscoring probabilities and clean sheet probabilities. The probabilities are multiplied by the player positions and added together alongside a variable for whether the player will start or not.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool2.791.120.494.46.4
Harry KaneForwardSpurs2.631.2603.895.89
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool2.310.820.493.625.62
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielderLiverpool2.230.690.493.415.41
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea2.160.70.483.345.34
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.220.171.933.325.32
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs2.050.60.533.185.18
Alexis SanchezMidfielderArsenal2.080.640.363.095.09
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool2.10.7802.884.88
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea2.040.7702.84.8
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs0.60.042.132.774.77
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool0.730.071.952.764.76
Gary CahillDefenderChelsea0.750.061.932.744.74
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs0.570.042.132.744.74
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea0.660.051.932.644.64
Wilfried ZahaMidfielderCrystal Palace1.70.50.42.64.6
Joel MatipDefenderLiverpool0.590.061.952.64.6
PedroMidfielderChelsea1.680.410.482.574.57
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace0.860.091.622.574.57
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool0.550.061.952.564.56
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea0.570.041.932.544.54
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs1.630.370.532.534.53
Joseph GomezDefenderLiverpool0.460.041.952.464.46
Adam LallanaMidfielderLiverpool1.60.350.492.444.44
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal1.790.6102.44.4
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea0.410.031.932.374.37
Son Heung-MinMidfielderSpurs2.190.650.533.364.36
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace0.640.051.622.314.31
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace0.590.051.622.264.26
RicharlisonMidfielderWatford1.550.370.322.234.23
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal0.70.061.462.224.22
Alfie MawsonDefenderSwansea0.630.051.522.194.19
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester1.660.5202.184.18
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton0.630.061.492.184.18
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City1.580.360.232.174.17
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal0.630.061.462.154.15
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal0.630.051.462.144.14
Hugo LlorisGoalkeeperSpurs002.132.134.13
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea1.360.280.482.124.12
Chris WoodForwardBurnley1.630.4702.14.1
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace0.450.031.622.14.1
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle0.720.061.32.094.09
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City1.510.340.232.084.08
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield0.40.031.592.024.02
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton0.50.031.492.024.02
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal0.50.041.461.993.99
Antonio ValenciaDefenderManchester United0.60.051.341.993.99
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool0.930.11.952.993.99
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal0.490.041.461.983.98
Martin OlssonDefenderSwansea0.440.031.521.983.98
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.031.621.983.98
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford0.660.051.261.973.97
Federico FernandezDefenderSwansea0.420.041.521.973.97
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley0.490.031.441.973.97
ZankaDefenderHuddersfield0.340.031.591.963.96
Simon MignoletGoalkeeperLiverpool001.951.953.95
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley0.470.031.441.953.95
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.330.260.361.953.95
Thibault CourtoisGoalkeeperChelsea001.931.933.93
Sam VokesForwardBurnley1.520.4101.933.93
Riyad MahrezMidfielderLeicester1.370.260.31.933.93
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle0.590.041.31.933.93
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford0.60.051.261.913.91
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace1.480.4201.913.91
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton0.380.031.491.93.9
Danny RoseDefenderSpurs0.720.062.132.93.9
Tommy SmithDefenderHuddersfield0.270.021.591.893.89
Romelu LukakuForwardManchester United1.470.4201.893.89
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley0.420.031.441.893.89
Jonny EvansDefenderWest Brom0.450.031.391.873.87
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace1.230.220.41.863.86
Tom InceMidfielderHuddersfield1.240.220.41.863.86
Erik LamelaMidfielderSpurs1.840.450.532.823.82
Paul DummettDefenderNewcastle0.480.031.31.813.81
Kieran GibbsDefenderWest Brom0.390.031.391.813.81
Kyle NaughtonDefenderSwansea0.280.021.521.813.81
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle0.470.031.31.83.8
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford0.510.031.261.83.8
BrunoDefenderBrighton0.280.021.491.793.79
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle0.450.031.31.783.78
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton1.180.230.371.773.77
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley0.310.021.441.773.77
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs0.590.042.132.763.76
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool0.730.081.952.763.76
Ahmed HegaziDefenderWest Brom0.350.021.391.763.76
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal1.190.190.361.753.75
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford0.450.031.261.743.74
Tammy AbrahamForwardSwansea1.380.3701.743.74
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle1.20.210.331.743.74
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderCrystal Palace1.150.170.41.723.72
Kiko FemeniaDefenderWatford0.430.031.261.723.72
Matt PhillipsMidfielderWest Brom1.170.210.351.723.72
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester0.470.031.191.73.7
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle1.190.190.331.73.7
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth0.630.051.021.73.7
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester0.460.031.191.693.69
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley1.140.180.361.683.68
Eric BaillyDefenderManchester United0.310.031.341.673.67
Phil JonesDefenderManchester United0.310.031.341.673.67
Dusan TadicMidfielderSouthampton1.210.240.211.663.66
JoseluForwardNewcastle1.310.3101.633.63
Julian SperoniGoalkeeperCrystal Palace001.621.623.62
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs0.460.032.132.623.62
Yohan CabayeMidfielderCrystal Palace1.060.140.41.613.61
Nicolas OtamendiDefenderMan City0.620.040.941.63.6
Jonas LosslGoalkeeperHuddersfield001.591.593.59
Jose IzquierdoMidfielderBrighton1.050.170.371.593.59
Aaron MooyMidfielderHuddersfield1.020.150.41.573.57
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton1.270.301.573.57
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester0.340.031.191.563.56
Andre GrayForwardWatford1.280.2801.563.56
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City1.140.190.231.563.56
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth1.250.2901.543.54
Callum WilsonForwardBournemouth1.250.2901.543.54
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton1.020.150.371.543.54
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton1.230.2901.523.52
Lukasz FabianskiGoalkeeperSwansea001.521.523.52
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth0.470.031.021.523.52
Virgil van DijkDefenderSouthampton0.630.050.831.513.51
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley1.010.130.361.53.5
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth0.460.031.021.53.5
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton1.110.180.211.53.5
James MilnerDefenderLiverpool1.330.211.953.493.49
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea0.520.041.932.493.49
Mat RyanGoalkeeperBrighton001.491.493.49
Jay RodriguezForwardWest Brom1.20.2801.483.48
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford1.020.150.321.483.48
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield1.20.2701.473.47
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City0.490.040.941.463.46
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth1.040.160.251.463.46
Petr CechGoalkeeperArsenal001.461.463.46
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford0.990.150.321.463.46
Marcus RashfordForwardManchester United1.180.2701.453.45
Nick PopeGoalkeeperBurnley001.441.443.44
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester0.230.021.191.443.44
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford0.980.150.321.443.44
Leroy FerMidfielderSwansea0.940.130.381.443.44
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.070.170.171.423.42
Ben FosterGoalkeeperWest Brom001.391.393.39
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City1.760.602.363.36
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City1.760.5902.353.35
David de GeaGoalkeeperManchester United001.341.343.34
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth1.120.2301.343.34
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City0.360.030.941.333.33
David SilvaMidfielderMan City0.960.130.231.333.33
Marko ArnautovicMidfielderWest Ham10.160.171.333.33
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton0.450.030.831.323.32
Andre AyewMidfielderWest Ham10.150.171.323.32
Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingMidfielderStoke1.050.160.11.313.31
Rob ElliotGoalkeeperNewcastle001.31.33.3
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace0.810.080.41.33.3
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester0.90.10.31.33.3
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle1.10.2101.33.3
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace0.80.090.41.293.29
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace0.620.041.622.283.28
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton1.020.160.11.283.28
GomesGoalkeeperWatford001.261.263.26
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester0.860.10.31.263.26
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle0.820.090.331.233.23
Manuel LanziniMidfielderWest Ham0.920.130.171.223.22
Eric DierMidfielderSpurs0.640.050.531.223.22
ChicharitoForwardWest Ham1.020.201.213.21
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton0.350.030.831.213.21
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton0.750.080.371.23.2
WillianMidfielderChelsea1.430.290.482.193.19
Kasper SchmeichelGoalkeeperLeicester001.191.193.19
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham10.1901.193.19
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal0.740.080.361.183.18
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton0.720.080.391.183.18
Oumar NiasseForwardEverton10.1701.173.17
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford0.760.080.321.163.16
Anthony MartialMidfielderManchester United1.470.350.332.153.15
Grzegorz KrychowiakMidfielderWest Brom0.730.060.351.143.14
Mikel MerinoMidfielderNewcastle0.750.070.331.143.14
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace0.490.031.622.143.14
Chris BruntMidfielderWest Brom0.720.070.351.133.13
Jordan AyewForwardSwansea0.960.1601.123.12
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield0.490.031.592.123.12
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton0.250.020.831.113.11
Gareth McAuleyDefenderWest Brom0.630.051.392.073.07
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderStoke0.850.120.11.063.06
Winston ReidDefenderWest Ham0.350.030.681.053.05
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley0.620.060.361.043.04
Sam ClucasMidfielderSwansea0.610.050.381.043.04
NGolo KanteMidfielderChelsea0.520.040.481.043.04
Ashley YoungMidfielderManchester United0.640.070.331.043.04
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.622.033.03
Asmir BegovicGoalkeeperBournemouth001.021.023.02
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham0.290.020.6813
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton0.570.050.370.992.99
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle0.610.050.330.992.99
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham0.280.020.680.982.98
Harry ArterMidfielderBournemouth0.660.060.250.972.97
Renato SanchesMidfielderSwansea0.530.040.380.952.95
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton0.670.070.210.952.95
EdersonGoalkeeperMan City000.940.942.94
Mame Biram DioufForwardStoke0.820.1200.942.94
Jake LivermoreMidfielderWest Brom0.510.040.350.92.9
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton0.450.040.390.882.88
Fernando LlorenteForwardSpurs2.110.7702.882.88
Zlatan IbrahimovicForwardManchester United1.450.4101.862.86
Bernardo SilvaMidfielderMan City1.350.280.231.862.86
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderWest Ham0.610.060.170.852.85
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool2.050.7902.842.84
Geoff CameronDefenderStoke0.420.030.390.842.84
Fraser ForsterGoalkeeperSouthampton000.830.832.83
Nemanja MaticMidfielderManchester United0.450.040.330.822.82
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester0.460.030.30.82.8
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs1.090.150.531.782.78
Marcos RojoDefenderManchester United0.40.031.341.772.77
Gareth BarryMidfielderWest Brom0.4100.350.762.76
Joe AllenMidfielderStoke0.590.060.10.752.75
Fabian DelphMidfielderMan City0.480.040.230.752.75
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea0.740.061.932.732.73
Ryan ShawcrossDefenderStoke0.310.030.390.732.73
Kurt ZoumaDefenderStoke0.310.030.390.722.72
Ben ChilwellDefenderLeicester0.470.031.191.72.7
Dwight GayleForwardNewcastle1.360.3401.72.7
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs0.520.042.132.692.69
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderManchester United1.150.210.331.692.69
Kevin WimmerDefenderStoke0.280.020.390.692.69
Joe HartGoalkeeperWest Ham000.680.682.68
Ashley WilliamsDefenderEverton0.260.030.390.682.68
Allan NyomDefenderWest Brom0.250.021.391.662.66
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle0.310.021.31.642.64
Elias KachungaMidfielderHuddersfield1.070.160.41.632.63
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton1.30.3301.632.63
Erik PietersDefenderStoke0.20.020.390.612.61
Darren FletcherMidfielderStoke0.450.030.10.582.58
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford0.290.021.261.582.58
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester1.10.170.31.572.57
Troy DeeneyForwardWatford1.270.2801.552.55
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs0.40.032.132.552.55
Emre CanMidfielderLiverpool0.920.140.491.542.54
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester1.250.2901.542.54
Juan MataMidfielderManchester United1.020.180.331.532.53
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool0.890.150.491.522.52
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace0.990.120.41.522.52
Ben WoodburnMidfielderLiverpool1.690.330.492.522.52
Scott ArfieldMidfielderBurnley1.010.140.361.512.51
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton0.380.030.10.512.51
Tiemoue BakayokoMidfielderChelsea0.90.110.481.492.49
Mousa DembeleMidfielderSpurs0.860.10.531.492.49
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield1.0900.41.482.48
Sofiane BoufalMidfielderSouthampton1.070.170.211.462.46
Wayne RoutledgeMidfielderSwansea0.940.130.381.452.45
Hal Robson-KanuForwardWest Brom1.20.2501.452.45
Michy BatshuayiForwardChelsea1.80.6302.432.43
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool1.790.6302.422.42
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester1.160.2501.412.41
Solly MarchMidfielderBrighton0.890.130.371.392.39
Jordan PickfordGoalkeeperEverton000.390.392.39
Lee GrantGoalkeeperStoke000.390.392.39
Jamie MurphyMidfielderBrighton0.910.120.371.392.39
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.510.040.831.382.38
Ragnar KlavanDefenderLiverpool0.390.041.952.382.38
Ethan AmpaduDefenderChelsea0.420.031.932.382.38
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City0.990.150.231.372.37
Shane LongForwardSouthampton1.120.2401.362.36
Marouane FellainiMidfielderManchester United0.890.110.331.342.34
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool0.740.10.491.332.33
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton0.940.140.211.292.29
Michael HefeleDefenderHuddersfield0.630.061.592.282.28
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley0.820.090.361.282.28
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth0.910.110.251.272.27
Arthur MasuakuDefenderWest Ham0.530.050.681.262.26
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth0.220.021.021.252.25
Wayne RooneyForwardEverton1.040.1901.232.23
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton0.840.110.211.162.16
Scott MaloneDefenderHuddersfield0.530.031.592.162.16
Olivier GiroudForwardArsenal1.650.502.152.15
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton0.980.1701.152.15
Paulo GazzanigaGoalkeeperSpurs002.132.132.13
Michel VormGoalkeeperSpurs002.132.132.13
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth0.790.080.251.122.12
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth0.790.080.251.122.12
Marko GrujicMidfielderLiverpool1.370.240.492.092.09
Georges-Kevin NkoudouMidfielderSpurs1.330.230.532.092.09
Theo WalcottMidfielderArsenal1.440.280.362.092.09
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham0.360.030.681.062.06
Ki Sung-yuengMidfielderSwansea0.60.050.381.042.04
Per MertesackerDefenderArsenal0.540.041.462.042.04
James CollinsDefenderWest Ham0.330.030.681.032.03
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.622.032.03
Calum ChambersDefenderArsenal0.520.041.462.022.02
Peter CrouchForwardStoke0.880.1401.022.02
Mike van der HoornDefenderSwansea0.460.031.5222
Rob HoldingDefenderArsenal0.490.041.461.991.99
Uwe HunemeierDefenderBrighton0.470.031.491.991.99
Bakary SakoMidfielderCrystal Palace1.330.250.41.981.98
Leon BrittonDefenderSwansea0.420.021.521.961.96
Tom CarrollMidfielderSwansea0.530.040.380.961.96
Sam McQueenDefenderSouthampton1.010.120.831.961.96
Damien DelaneyDefenderCrystal Palace0.310.031.621.951.95
Loris KariusGoalkeeperLiverpool001.951.951.95
Adam BogdanGoalkeeperLiverpool001.951.951.95
Danny WardGoalkeeperLiverpool001.951.951.95
Alex Oxlade-ChamberlainMidfielderLiverpool1.230.230.491.941.94
Willy CaballeroGoalkeeperChelsea001.931.931.93
EduardoGoalkeeperChelsea001.931.931.93
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace0.290.021.621.931.93
Mathieu DebuchyDefenderArsenal0.430.031.461.921.92
Nikola VlasicMidfielderEverton0.730.090.10.921.92
Danny WelbeckForwardArsenal1.510.4101.921.92
Martin CranieDefenderHuddersfield0.310.021.591.921.92
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderStoke0.730.080.10.911.91
Connor GoldsonDefenderBrighton0.390.031.491.91.9
Angel RangelDefenderSwansea0.350.031.521.891.89
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield0.270.021.591.891.89
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley0.420.031.441.891.89
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton0.370.031.491.881.88
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley0.390.031.441.861.86
Dan GoslingMidfielderBournemouth0.550.050.250.861.86
Aaron LennonMidfielderEverton0.690.070.10.851.85
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth0.530.040.250.831.83
FernandinhoMidfielderMan City0.540.050.230.821.82
Jacob MurphyMidfielderNewcastle1.270.230.331.821.82
Chris SmallingDefenderManchester United0.440.031.341.811.81
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham0.570.060.170.791.79
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton0.360.030.390.791.79
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford0.50.031.261.791.79
Chancel MbembaDefenderNewcastle0.440.031.31.771.77
Liam RoseniorDefenderBrighton0.260.021.491.771.77
Claudio YacobMidfielderWest Brom0.390.030.350.771.77
Matty JamesDefenderLeicester0.540.031.191.771.77
Oriol RomeuMidfielderSouthampton0.50.050.210.761.76
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford0.470.031.261.761.76
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal1.20.20.361.761.76
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley0.30.021.441.761.76
Ales MatejuDefenderBrighton0.2601.491.751.75
Gaetan BongDefenderBrighton0.240.021.491.751.75
Lewis CookMidfielderBournemouth0.440.040.250.731.73
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton0.560.060.10.721.72
Marvin ZeegelaarDefenderWatford0.420.031.261.711.71
Molla WagueDefenderWatford0.40.031.261.691.69
Abdelhamid SabiriMidfielderHuddersfield1.120.180.41.691.69
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton0.520.050.10.671.67
Jesse LingardMidfielderManchester United1.150.190.331.671.67
Daley BlindDefenderManchester United0.310.031.341.671.67
Massadio HaidaraDefenderNewcastle0.320.021.31.651.65
Matteo DarmianDefenderManchester United0.270.021.341.631.63
Cuco MartinaDefenderEverton0.220.030.390.631.63
Victor LindelofDefenderManchester United0.270.021.341.631.63
Luke ShawDefenderManchester United0.260.021.341.621.62
Wayne HennesseyGoalkeeperCrystal Palace001.621.621.62
Jesus GamezDefenderNewcastle0.280.021.31.611.61
Isaiah BrownMidfielderBrighton1.060.180.371.611.61
Aleksandar MitrovicForwardNewcastle1.290.3101.61.6
Joel ColemanGoalkeeperHuddersfield001.591.591.59
Rob GreenGoalkeeperHuddersfield001.591.591.59
Daniel AmarteyDefenderLeicester0.370.031.191.591.59
Eddie NketiahForwardArsenal1.250.3301.581.58
Oliver BurkeMidfielderWest Brom1.060.160.351.571.57
Salomon RondonForwardWest Brom1.260.2901.551.55
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderChelsea0.930.140.481.551.55
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham0.340.030.170.541.54
Kasey PalmerMidfielderHuddersfield0.990.130.41.531.53
Kristoffer NordfeldtGoalkeeperSwansea001.521.521.52
Erwin MulderGoalkeeperSwansea001.521.521.52
Wilfried BonyForwardSwansea1.240.2801.521.52
Rolando AaronsMidfielderNewcastle1.050.130.331.511.51
Aleksandar DragovicDefenderLeicester0.30.021.191.511.51
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs0.880.10.531.51.5
Tim KrulGoalkeeperBrighton001.491.491.49
Niki MaenpaaGoalkeeperBrighton001.491.491.49
Andre CarrilloMidfielderSwansea0.960.140.381.481.48
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley1.210.2701.481.48
Matt MaceyGoalkeeperArsenal001.461.461.46
Tomer HemedForwardBrighton1.20.2601.461.46
David OspinaGoalkeeperArsenal001.461.461.46
Nahki WellsForwardBurnley1.20.2501.451.45
DaniloDefenderMan City0.480.040.941.451.45
Anders LindegaardGoalkeeperBurnley001.441.441.44
Adam LegzdinsGoalkeeperBurnley001.441.441.44
Tom HeatonGoalkeeperBurnley001.441.441.44
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford1.170.2501.421.42
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield1.170.2401.411.41
Jordon MutchMidfielderCrystal Palace0.890.110.41.411.41
Boaz MyhillGoalkeeperWest Brom001.391.391.39
Alex PalmerGoalkeeperWest Brom001.391.391.39
Jack WilshereMidfielderArsenal0.920.110.361.391.39
Islam SlimaniForwardLeicester1.160.2301.391.39
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle0.920.130.331.371.37
James McCleanMidfielderWest Brom0.90.130.351.371.37
Jeremy PiedDefenderSouthampton0.490.040.831.361.36
Leonardo UlloaForwardLeicester1.120.2201.341.34
Joel PerreiraGoalkeeperManchester United001.341.341.34
Sergio RomeroGoalkeeperManchester United001.341.341.34
Jack SimpsonDefenderBournemouth0.290.021.021.331.33
Eliaquim MangalaDefenderMan City0.350.030.941.311.31
Karl DarlowGoalkeeperNewcastle001.31.31.3
Freddie WoodmanGoalkeeperNewcastle001.31.31.3
Soufyan AhannachMidfielderBrighton0.9300.371.31.3
Luciano NarsinghMidfielderSwansea0.810.110.381.31.3
Benik AfobeForwardBournemouth1.070.2101.281.28
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton0.40.030.831.271.27
Orestis KarnezisGoalkeeperWatford001.261.261.26
Daniel BachmannGoalkeeperWatford001.261.261.26
Nathan DyerMidfielderSwansea0.790.090.381.251.25
Scott McTominayMidfielderManchester United0.780.110.331.221.22
Sam BaldockForwardBrighton1.030.1901.221.22
KenedyMidfielderEverton10.120.11.221.22
Yaya ToureMidfielderMan City0.850.10.231.191.19
Ben HamerGoalkeeperLeicester001.191.191.19
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton0.330.030.831.191.19
Eldin JakupovicGoalkeeperLeicester001.191.191.19
Andy KingMidfielderLeicester0.80.090.31.191.19
Oliver McBurnieForwardSwansea10.1801.181.18
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton0.30.040.831.171.17
Freddie LadapoForwardCrystal Palace1.13001.131.13
Sam FieldMidfielderWest Brom0.70.060.351.111.11
Kevin MirallasMidfielderEverton0.890.130.11.111.11
Danny WilliamsMidfielderHuddersfield0.660.060.41.111.11
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth0.950.1601.111.11
Diafra SakhoForwardWest Ham0.930.1701.11.1
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham0.370.030.681.071.07
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton0.860.110.11.071.07
Sandro RamirezForwardEverton0.910.1501.061.06
Domingos QuinaMidfielderWest Ham0.790.10.171.061.06
Davy KlaassenMidfielderEverton0.840.110.11.051.05
Ander HerreraMidfielderManchester United0.650.070.331.051.05
Artur BorucGoalkeeperBournemouth001.021.021.02
Dean MarneyMidfielderBurnley0.60.060.361.021.02
Aaron RamsdaleGoalkeeperBournemouth001.021.021.02
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield0.880.1301.021.02
Adam FedericiGoalkeeperBournemouth001.021.021.02
Ross BarkleyMidfielderEverton0.820.10.11.021.02
Sam ByramDefenderWest Ham0.290.020.680.990.99
Ainsley Maitland-NilesMidfielderArsenal0.550.040.360.960.96
Saido BerahinoForwardStoke0.830.1300.960.96
Ben WatsonMidfielderWatford0.580.050.320.950.95
Beram KayalMidfielderBrighton0.530.040.370.940.94
Claudio BravoGoalkeeperMan City000.940.940.94
Daniel GrimshawGoalkeeperMan City000.940.940.94
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley0.530.050.360.930.93
Sead HaksabanovicMidfielderWest Ham0.670.10.170.930.93
Mohamed El NenyMidfielderArsenal0.530.030.360.920.92
Jay FultonMidfielderSwansea0.490.040.380.910.91
Francis CoquelinMidfielderArsenal0.430.030.360.830.83
Alex McCarthyGoalkeeperSouthampton000.830.830.83
Stuart TaylorGoalkeeperSouthampton000.830.830.83
Dean WhiteheadMidfielderHuddersfield0.40.030.40.820.82
Pierre-Emile HojbjergMidfielderSouthampton0.570.050.210.820.82
Roque MesaMidfielderSwansea0.410.030.380.810.81
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield0.360.020.40.780.78
Ibrahim AfellayMidfielderStoke0.610.060.10.770.77
Edimilson FernandesMidfielderWest Ham0.540.050.170.760.76
Hamza ChoudhuryMidfielderLeicester0.430.030.30.760.76
Connor MahoneyMidfielderBournemouth0.500.250.750.75
Morgan FeeneyDefenderEverton0.30.030.390.720.72
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton0.290.030.390.710.71
Charlie AdamMidfielderStoke0.560.060.10.710.71
AdrianGoalkeeperWest Ham000.680.680.68
Josh TymonDefenderStoke0.270.020.390.680.68
Nathan TrottGoalkeeperWest Ham000.680.680.68
Glen JohnsonDefenderStoke0.240.020.390.650.65
Thomas EdwardsDefenderStoke0.240.020.390.650.65
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton0.210.030.390.630.63
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton0.440.040.10.580.58
Beni BaningimeMidfielderEverton0.430.040.10.570.57
Muhamed BesicMidfielderEverton0.360.030.10.490.49
Jack ButlandGoalkeeperStoke000.390.390.39
Joel RoblesGoalkeeperEverton000.390.390.39
Maarten StekelenburgGoalkeeperEverton000.390.390.39

Forwards

Unfortunately, Alvaro Morata was not fully rested midweek for Chelsea’s fixture against Atletico Madrid, but he did get subbed in the 81st minute. Morata scored last week against Newcastle and will be hoping to repeat the feat against West Ham in GW16. His link up play with Hazard has been exquisite and they look very threatening together. With Moyes confirming that Cheikhou Kouyate is out of the fixture West Ham’s defence will have less coverage from midfield which could improve Chelsea’s chances of scoring. Morata has a points expectancy of 4.80.

Roberto Firmino only managed to score 1 goal against Spartak midweek.  However, he was subbed in the 72nd minute to be replaced by Daniel Sturridge. Firmino scored 2 last week against Brighton and looks to be hitting a bit of form again. His point expectancy is 4.88.

Harry Kane, as usual, is near the top of the rankings. His point expectancy is extremely high at 5.89 points, making him the most likely point scorer out of all the attacking players this week. Yet he’s been so disappointing lately for FPL Owners with Kane regularly blanking. So Harry, please just score.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Harry KaneForwardSpurs2.631.2603.895.89
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool2.10.7802.884.88
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea2.040.7702.84.8
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal1.790.6102.44.4
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester1.660.5202.184.18
Chris WoodForwardBurnley1.630.4702.14.1
Sam VokesForwardBurnley1.520.4101.933.93
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace1.480.4201.913.91
Romelu LukakuForwardManchester United1.470.4201.893.89
Tammy AbrahamForwardSwansea1.380.3701.743.74
JoseluForwardNewcastle1.310.3101.633.63
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton1.270.301.573.57
Andre GrayForwardWatford1.280.2801.563.56
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth1.250.2901.543.54
Callum WilsonForwardBournemouth1.250.2901.543.54
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton1.230.2901.523.52
Jay RodriguezForwardWest Brom1.20.2801.483.48
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield1.20.2701.473.47
Marcus RashfordForwardManchester United1.180.2701.453.45
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City1.760.602.363.36
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City1.760.5902.353.35
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth1.120.2301.343.34
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle1.10.2101.33.3
ChicharitoForwardWest Ham1.020.201.213.21
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham10.1901.193.19
Oumar NiasseForwardEverton10.1701.173.17
Jordan AyewForwardSwansea0.960.1601.123.12
Mame Biram DioufForwardStoke0.820.1200.942.94
Fernando LlorenteForwardSpurs2.110.7702.882.88
Zlatan IbrahimovicForwardManchester United1.450.4101.862.86
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool2.050.7902.842.84
Dwight GayleForwardNewcastle1.360.3401.72.7
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton1.30.3301.632.63
Troy DeeneyForwardWatford1.270.2801.552.55
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester1.250.2901.542.54
Hal Robson-KanuForwardWest Brom1.20.2501.452.45
Michy BatshuayiForwardChelsea1.80.6302.432.43
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool1.790.6302.422.42
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester1.160.2501.412.41
Shane LongForwardSouthampton1.120.2401.362.36
Wayne RooneyForwardEverton1.040.1901.232.23
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton0.980.1701.152.15
Olivier GiroudForwardArsenal1.650.502.152.15
Peter CrouchForwardStoke0.880.1401.022.02
Danny WelbeckForwardArsenal1.510.4101.921.92
Aleksandar MitrovicForwardNewcastle1.290.3101.61.6
Eddie NketiahForwardArsenal1.250.3301.581.58
Salomon RondonForwardWest Brom1.260.2901.551.55
Wilfried BonyForwardSwansea1.240.2801.521.52
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley1.210.2701.481.48
Tomer HemedForwardBrighton1.20.2601.461.46
Nahki WellsForwardBurnley1.20.2501.451.45
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford1.170.2501.421.42
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield1.170.2401.411.41
Islam SlimaniForwardLeicester1.160.2301.391.39
Leonardo UlloaForwardLeicester1.120.2201.341.34
Benik AfobeForwardBournemouth1.070.2101.281.28
Sam BaldockForwardBrighton1.030.1901.221.22
Oliver McBurnieForwardSwansea10.1801.181.18
Freddie LadapoForwardCrystal Palace1.13001.131.13
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth0.950.1601.111.11
Diafra SakhoForwardWest Ham0.930.1701.11.1
Sandro RamirezForwardEverton0.910.1501.061.06
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield0.880.1301.021.02
Saido BerahinoForwardStoke0.830.1300.960.96

Midfielders

Aaron Ramsey has been in sensational form lately and looks a steal at 7.2M as a cheap option into the Arsenal attack. Since GW9 Ramsey has only blanked once getting 3 points against Spurs. Arsenal are away to Southampton this week and Ramsey’s expected points are 3.75, something which we feel the bookies may have underpriced.

Christian Eriksen was rested midweek in the champions league. Spurs have been very underwhelming in recent weeks and returns have been poor for Eriksen also, although he did manage an assist last week. His first assist since GW2. Spurs take on Stoke in a game where they are massive favourites, it’s no surprise that Eriksen’s expected points are 4.53.

Salah has been getting all the praise recently, but midweek it was Philippe Coutinho who ran the show against Spartak Moscow. Coutinho scored a hat-trick and looks to be on penalties for Liverpool now. Interesting. In GW15 he managed to get 3 assists and a goal getting him a whopping 18 points. Liverpool come up against their local foes Everton at home in GW 16, a fixture which they almost consider a guaranteed 3 points. Coutinho has a points expectancy of 5.41, making him the 3rd most likely point scorer from midfield in GW16. Behind his two Liverpool compatriots Mane and Salah. Unsurprising.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool2.791.120.494.46.4
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool2.310.820.493.625.62
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielderLiverpool2.230.690.493.415.41
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea2.160.70.483.345.34
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs2.050.60.533.185.18
Alexis SanchezMidfielderArsenal2.080.640.363.095.09
Wilfried ZahaMidfielderCrystal Palace1.70.50.42.64.6
PedroMidfielderChelsea1.680.410.482.574.57
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs1.630.370.532.534.53
Adam LallanaMidfielderLiverpool1.60.350.492.444.44
Son Heung-MinMidfielderSpurs2.190.650.533.364.36
RicharlisonMidfielderWatford1.550.370.322.234.23
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City1.580.360.232.174.17
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea1.360.280.482.124.12
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City1.510.340.232.084.08
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.330.260.361.953.95
Riyad MahrezMidfielderLeicester1.370.260.31.933.93
Tom InceMidfielderHuddersfield1.240.220.41.863.86
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace1.230.220.41.863.86
Erik LamelaMidfielderSpurs1.840.450.532.823.82
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton1.180.230.371.773.77
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal1.190.190.361.753.75
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle1.20.210.331.743.74
Matt PhillipsMidfielderWest Brom1.170.210.351.723.72
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderCrystal Palace1.150.170.41.723.72
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle1.190.190.331.73.7
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley1.140.180.361.683.68
Dusan TadicMidfielderSouthampton1.210.240.211.663.66
Yohan CabayeMidfielderCrystal Palace1.060.140.41.613.61
Jose IzquierdoMidfielderBrighton1.050.170.371.593.59
Aaron MooyMidfielderHuddersfield1.020.150.41.573.57
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City1.140.190.231.563.56
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton1.020.150.371.543.54
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley1.010.130.361.53.5
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton1.110.180.211.53.5
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford1.020.150.321.483.48
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth1.040.160.251.463.46
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford0.990.150.321.463.46
Leroy FerMidfielderSwansea0.940.130.381.443.44
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford0.980.150.321.443.44
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.070.170.171.423.42
Marko ArnautovicMidfielderWest Ham10.160.171.333.33
David SilvaMidfielderMan City0.960.130.231.333.33
Andre AyewMidfielderWest Ham10.150.171.323.32
Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingMidfielderStoke1.050.160.11.313.31
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester0.90.10.31.33.3
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace0.810.080.41.33.3
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace0.80.090.41.293.29
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton1.020.160.11.283.28
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester0.860.10.31.263.26
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle0.820.090.331.233.23
Eric DierMidfielderSpurs0.640.050.531.223.22
Manuel LanziniMidfielderWest Ham0.920.130.171.223.22
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton0.750.080.371.23.2
WillianMidfielderChelsea1.430.290.482.193.19
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal0.740.080.361.183.18
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford0.760.080.321.163.16
Anthony MartialMidfielderManchester United1.470.350.332.153.15
Grzegorz KrychowiakMidfielderWest Brom0.730.060.351.143.14
Mikel MerinoMidfielderNewcastle0.750.070.331.143.14
Chris BruntMidfielderWest Brom0.720.070.351.133.13
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderStoke0.850.120.11.063.06
NGolo KanteMidfielderChelsea0.520.040.481.043.04
Sam ClucasMidfielderSwansea0.610.050.381.043.04
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley0.620.060.361.043.04
Ashley YoungMidfielderManchester United0.640.070.331.043.04
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton0.570.050.370.992.99
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle0.610.050.330.992.99
Harry ArterMidfielderBournemouth0.660.060.250.972.97
Renato SanchesMidfielderSwansea0.530.040.380.952.95
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton0.670.070.210.952.95
Jake LivermoreMidfielderWest Brom0.510.040.350.92.9
Bernardo SilvaMidfielderMan City1.350.280.231.862.86
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderWest Ham0.610.060.170.852.85
Nemanja MaticMidfielderManchester United0.450.040.330.822.82
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester0.460.030.30.82.8
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs1.090.150.531.782.78
Gareth BarryMidfielderWest Brom0.4100.350.762.76
Joe AllenMidfielderStoke0.590.060.10.752.75
Fabian DelphMidfielderMan City0.480.040.230.752.75
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderManchester United1.150.210.331.692.69
Elias KachungaMidfielderHuddersfield1.070.160.41.632.63
Darren FletcherMidfielderStoke0.450.030.10.582.58
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester1.10.170.31.572.57
Emre CanMidfielderLiverpool0.920.140.491.542.54
Juan MataMidfielderManchester United1.020.180.331.532.53
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace0.990.120.41.522.52
Ben WoodburnMidfielderLiverpool1.690.330.492.522.52
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool0.890.150.491.522.52
Scott ArfieldMidfielderBurnley1.010.140.361.512.51
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton0.380.030.10.512.51
Mousa DembeleMidfielderSpurs0.860.10.531.492.49
Tiemoue BakayokoMidfielderChelsea0.90.110.481.492.49
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield1.0900.41.482.48
Sofiane BoufalMidfielderSouthampton1.070.170.211.462.46
Wayne RoutledgeMidfielderSwansea0.940.130.381.452.45
Jamie MurphyMidfielderBrighton0.910.120.371.392.39
Solly MarchMidfielderBrighton0.890.130.371.392.39
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City0.990.150.231.372.37
Marouane FellainiMidfielderManchester United0.890.110.331.342.34
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool0.740.10.491.332.33
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton0.940.140.211.292.29
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley0.820.090.361.282.28
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth0.910.110.251.272.27
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton0.840.110.211.162.16
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth0.790.080.251.122.12
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth0.790.080.251.122.12
Theo WalcottMidfielderArsenal1.440.280.362.092.09
Marko GrujicMidfielderLiverpool1.370.240.492.092.09
Georges-Kevin NkoudouMidfielderSpurs1.330.230.532.092.09
Ki Sung-yuengMidfielderSwansea0.60.050.381.042.04
Bakary SakoMidfielderCrystal Palace1.330.250.41.981.98
Tom CarrollMidfielderSwansea0.530.040.380.961.96
Alex Oxlade-ChamberlainMidfielderLiverpool1.230.230.491.941.94
Nikola VlasicMidfielderEverton0.730.090.10.921.92
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderStoke0.730.080.10.911.91
Dan GoslingMidfielderBournemouth0.550.050.250.861.86
Aaron LennonMidfielderEverton0.690.070.10.851.85
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth0.530.040.250.831.83
FernandinhoMidfielderMan City0.540.050.230.821.82
Jacob MurphyMidfielderNewcastle1.270.230.331.821.82
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham0.570.060.170.791.79
Claudio YacobMidfielderWest Brom0.390.030.350.771.77
Oriol RomeuMidfielderSouthampton0.50.050.210.761.76
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal1.20.20.361.761.76
Lewis CookMidfielderBournemouth0.440.040.250.731.73
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton0.560.060.10.721.72
Abdelhamid SabiriMidfielderHuddersfield1.120.180.41.691.69
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton0.520.050.10.671.67
Jesse LingardMidfielderManchester United1.150.190.331.671.67
Isaiah BrownMidfielderBrighton1.060.180.371.611.61
Oliver BurkeMidfielderWest Brom1.060.160.351.571.57
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderChelsea0.930.140.481.551.55
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham0.340.030.170.541.54
Kasey PalmerMidfielderHuddersfield0.990.130.41.531.53
Rolando AaronsMidfielderNewcastle1.050.130.331.511.51
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs0.880.10.531.51.5
Andre CarrilloMidfielderSwansea0.960.140.381.481.48
Jordon MutchMidfielderCrystal Palace0.890.110.41.411.41
Jack WilshereMidfielderArsenal0.920.110.361.391.39
James McCleanMidfielderWest Brom0.90.130.351.371.37
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle0.920.130.331.371.37
Luciano NarsinghMidfielderSwansea0.810.110.381.31.3
Soufyan AhannachMidfielderBrighton0.9300.371.31.3
Nathan DyerMidfielderSwansea0.790.090.381.251.25
Scott McTominayMidfielderManchester United0.780.110.331.221.22
KenedyMidfielderEverton10.120.11.221.22
Andy KingMidfielderLeicester0.80.090.31.191.19
Yaya ToureMidfielderMan City0.850.10.231.191.19
Danny WilliamsMidfielderHuddersfield0.660.060.41.111.11
Sam FieldMidfielderWest Brom0.70.060.351.111.11
Kevin MirallasMidfielderEverton0.890.130.11.111.11
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton0.860.110.11.071.07
Domingos QuinaMidfielderWest Ham0.790.10.171.061.06
Davy KlaassenMidfielderEverton0.840.110.11.051.05
Ander HerreraMidfielderManchester United0.650.070.331.051.05
Dean MarneyMidfielderBurnley0.60.060.361.021.02
Ross BarkleyMidfielderEverton0.820.10.11.021.02
Ainsley Maitland-NilesMidfielderArsenal0.550.040.360.960.96
Ben WatsonMidfielderWatford0.580.050.320.950.95
Beram KayalMidfielderBrighton0.530.040.370.940.94
Sead HaksabanovicMidfielderWest Ham0.670.10.170.930.93
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley0.530.050.360.930.93
Mohamed El NenyMidfielderArsenal0.530.030.360.920.92
Jay FultonMidfielderSwansea0.490.040.380.910.91
Francis CoquelinMidfielderArsenal0.430.030.360.830.83
Dean WhiteheadMidfielderHuddersfield0.40.030.40.820.82
Pierre-Emile HojbjergMidfielderSouthampton0.570.050.210.820.82
Roque MesaMidfielderSwansea0.410.030.380.810.81
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield0.360.020.40.780.78
Ibrahim AfellayMidfielderStoke0.610.060.10.770.77
Hamza ChoudhuryMidfielderLeicester0.430.030.30.760.76
Edimilson FernandesMidfielderWest Ham0.540.050.170.760.76
Connor MahoneyMidfielderBournemouth0.500.250.750.75
Charlie AdamMidfielderStoke0.560.060.10.710.71
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton0.440.040.10.580.58
Beni BaningimeMidfielderEverton0.430.040.10.570.57
Muhamed BesicMidfielderEverton0.360.030.10.490.49

Defenders

Swansea City take on West Brom and Kyle Naughton looks to be a nice cheap option to have at 4.6M. Swansea have been struggling to play any decent football lately. Perhaps its their insistence on spending 18 million on Sam Clucas, perhaps its Renato Sanches‘ inability to pass a ball to his team mate, perhaps it is due to Swansea just being utterly shite. Who knows? Back to the point, Kyle Naughton’s point expectancy is 3.81 points. I’m still not sure how he is a Premier League footballer, mind you.

Jan Vertonghen may have no other natural defenders alongside him in GW 16 due to Davinson Sanchez’s dodgy elbows, and Toby Alderweireld’s dodgy hamstring. Starting alongside him will most likely be Eric Dier. Spurs have been poor defensively of late, conceding in fixtures which they were more likely to keep a clean sheet in. With a fixture against Stoke at home, you would expect Vertongen to keep a clean sheet. At 4.77 expected points he is this week’s second most likely point scorer. If you are considering bringing him in, please do account for the fact he is one yellow away from a 1 game suspension.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.220.171.933.325.32
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs0.60.042.132.774.77
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool0.730.071.952.764.76
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs0.570.042.132.744.74
Gary CahillDefenderChelsea0.750.061.932.744.74
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea0.660.051.932.644.64
Joel MatipDefenderLiverpool0.590.061.952.64.6
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace0.860.091.622.574.57
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool0.550.061.952.564.56
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea0.570.041.932.544.54
Joseph GomezDefenderLiverpool0.460.041.952.464.46
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea0.410.031.932.374.37
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace0.640.051.622.314.31
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace0.590.051.622.264.26
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal0.70.061.462.224.22
Alfie MawsonDefenderSwansea0.630.051.522.194.19
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton0.630.061.492.184.18
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal0.630.061.462.154.15
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal0.630.051.462.144.14
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace0.450.031.622.14.1
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle0.720.061.32.094.09
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield0.40.031.592.024.02
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton0.50.031.492.024.02
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal0.50.041.461.993.99
Antonio ValenciaDefenderManchester United0.60.051.341.993.99
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool0.930.11.952.993.99
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal0.490.041.461.983.98
Martin OlssonDefenderSwansea0.440.031.521.983.98
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.031.621.983.98
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley0.490.031.441.973.97
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford0.660.051.261.973.97
Federico FernandezDefenderSwansea0.420.041.521.973.97
ZankaDefenderHuddersfield0.340.031.591.963.96
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley0.470.031.441.953.95
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle0.590.041.31.933.93
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford0.60.051.261.913.91
Danny RoseDefenderSpurs0.720.062.132.93.9
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton0.380.031.491.93.9
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley0.420.031.441.893.89
Tommy SmithDefenderHuddersfield0.270.021.591.893.89
Jonny EvansDefenderWest Brom0.450.031.391.873.87
Kieran GibbsDefenderWest Brom0.390.031.391.813.81
Kyle NaughtonDefenderSwansea0.280.021.521.813.81
Paul DummettDefenderNewcastle0.480.031.31.813.81
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford0.510.031.261.83.8
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle0.470.031.31.83.8
BrunoDefenderBrighton0.280.021.491.793.79
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle0.450.031.31.783.78
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley0.310.021.441.773.77
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs0.590.042.132.763.76
Ahmed HegaziDefenderWest Brom0.350.021.391.763.76
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool0.730.081.952.763.76
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford0.450.031.261.743.74
Kiko FemeniaDefenderWatford0.430.031.261.723.72
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth0.630.051.021.73.7
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester0.470.031.191.73.7
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester0.460.031.191.693.69
Eric BaillyDefenderManchester United0.310.031.341.673.67
Phil JonesDefenderManchester United0.310.031.341.673.67
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs0.460.032.132.623.62
Nicolas OtamendiDefenderMan City0.620.040.941.63.6
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester0.340.031.191.563.56
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth0.470.031.021.523.52
Virgil van DijkDefenderSouthampton0.630.050.831.513.51
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth0.460.031.021.53.5
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea0.520.041.932.493.49
James MilnerDefenderLiverpool1.330.211.953.493.49
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City0.490.040.941.463.46
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester0.230.021.191.443.44
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City0.360.030.941.333.33
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton0.450.030.831.323.32
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace0.620.041.622.283.28
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton0.350.030.831.213.21
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton0.720.080.391.183.18
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace0.490.031.622.143.14
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield0.490.031.592.123.12
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton0.250.020.831.113.11
Gareth McAuleyDefenderWest Brom0.630.051.392.073.07
Winston ReidDefenderWest Ham0.350.030.681.053.05
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.622.033.03
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham0.290.020.6813
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham0.280.020.680.982.98
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton0.450.040.390.882.88
Geoff CameronDefenderStoke0.420.030.390.842.84
Marcos RojoDefenderManchester United0.40.031.341.772.77
Ryan ShawcrossDefenderStoke0.310.030.390.732.73
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea0.740.061.932.732.73
Kurt ZoumaDefenderStoke0.310.030.390.722.72
Ben ChilwellDefenderLeicester0.470.031.191.72.7
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs0.520.042.132.692.69
Kevin WimmerDefenderStoke0.280.020.390.692.69
Ashley WilliamsDefenderEverton0.260.030.390.682.68
Allan NyomDefenderWest Brom0.250.021.391.662.66
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle0.310.021.31.642.64
Erik PietersDefenderStoke0.20.020.390.612.61
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford0.290.021.261.582.58
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs0.40.032.132.552.55
Ethan AmpaduDefenderChelsea0.420.031.932.382.38
Ragnar KlavanDefenderLiverpool0.390.041.952.382.38
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.510.040.831.382.38
Michael HefeleDefenderHuddersfield0.630.061.592.282.28
Arthur MasuakuDefenderWest Ham0.530.050.681.262.26
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth0.220.021.021.252.25
Scott MaloneDefenderHuddersfield0.530.031.592.162.16
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham0.360.030.681.062.06
Per MertesackerDefenderArsenal0.540.041.462.042.04
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.622.032.03
James CollinsDefenderWest Ham0.330.030.681.032.03
Calum ChambersDefenderArsenal0.520.041.462.022.02
Mike van der HoornDefenderSwansea0.460.031.5222
Rob HoldingDefenderArsenal0.490.041.461.991.99
Uwe HunemeierDefenderBrighton0.470.031.491.991.99
Leon BrittonDefenderSwansea0.420.021.521.961.96
Sam McQueenDefenderSouthampton1.010.120.831.961.96
Damien DelaneyDefenderCrystal Palace0.310.031.621.951.95
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace0.290.021.621.931.93
Mathieu DebuchyDefenderArsenal0.430.031.461.921.92
Martin CranieDefenderHuddersfield0.310.021.591.921.92
Connor GoldsonDefenderBrighton0.390.031.491.91.9
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield0.270.021.591.891.89
Angel RangelDefenderSwansea0.350.031.521.891.89
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley0.420.031.441.891.89
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton0.370.031.491.881.88
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley0.390.031.441.861.86
Chris SmallingDefenderManchester United0.440.031.341.811.81
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton0.360.030.390.791.79
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford0.50.031.261.791.79
Matty JamesDefenderLeicester0.540.031.191.771.77
Chancel MbembaDefenderNewcastle0.440.031.31.771.77
Liam RoseniorDefenderBrighton0.260.021.491.771.77
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford0.470.031.261.761.76
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley0.30.021.441.761.76
Ales MatejuDefenderBrighton0.2601.491.751.75
Gaetan BongDefenderBrighton0.240.021.491.751.75
Marvin ZeegelaarDefenderWatford0.420.031.261.711.71
Molla WagueDefenderWatford0.40.031.261.691.69
Daley BlindDefenderManchester United0.310.031.341.671.67
Massadio HaidaraDefenderNewcastle0.320.021.31.651.65
Cuco MartinaDefenderEverton0.220.030.390.631.63
Victor LindelofDefenderManchester United0.270.021.341.631.63
Matteo DarmianDefenderManchester United0.270.021.341.631.63
Luke ShawDefenderManchester United0.260.021.341.621.62
Jesus GamezDefenderNewcastle0.280.021.31.611.61
Daniel AmarteyDefenderLeicester0.370.031.191.591.59
Aleksandar DragovicDefenderLeicester0.30.021.191.511.51
DaniloDefenderMan City0.480.040.941.451.45
Jeremy PiedDefenderSouthampton0.490.040.831.361.36
Jack SimpsonDefenderBournemouth0.290.021.021.331.33
Eliaquim MangalaDefenderMan City0.350.030.941.311.31
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton0.40.030.831.271.27
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton0.330.030.831.191.19
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton0.30.040.831.171.17
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham0.370.030.681.071.07
Sam ByramDefenderWest Ham0.290.020.680.990.99
Morgan FeeneyDefenderEverton0.30.030.390.720.72
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton0.290.030.390.710.71
Josh TymonDefenderStoke0.270.020.390.680.68
Glen JohnsonDefenderStoke0.240.020.390.650.65
Thomas EdwardsDefenderStoke0.240.020.390.650.65
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton0.210.030.390.630.63

Goalkeepers

Due to Wayne Hennessey being out injured, Julian Speroni has stepped up to the plate for Crystal Palace. Palace haven’t conceded in their last two games while the stopper has been in and I’m sure fans are delighted to see the back of Hennessey. Speroni played last week and managed to obtain 11 points with some fans comparing the shit bearded stopper to a magnet. Bournemouth haven’t exactly been scoring for fun lately, which gives Crystal Palace a good chance of a clean sheet. Speroni’s point expectancy is 3.62.

Player NamePositionClubClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Hugo LlorisGoalkeeperSpurs2.132.134.13
Simon MignoletGoalkeeperLiverpool1.951.953.95
Thibault CourtoisGoalkeeperChelsea1.931.933.93
Julian SperoniGoalkeeperCrystal Palace1.621.623.62
Jonas LosslGoalkeeperHuddersfield1.591.593.59
Lukasz FabianskiGoalkeeperSwansea1.521.523.52
Mat RyanGoalkeeperBrighton1.491.493.49
Petr CechGoalkeeperArsenal1.461.463.46
Nick PopeGoalkeeperBurnley1.441.443.44
Ben FosterGoalkeeperWest Brom1.391.393.39
David de GeaGoalkeeperManchester United1.341.343.34
Rob ElliotGoalkeeperNewcastle1.31.33.3
GomesGoalkeeperWatford1.261.263.26
Kasper SchmeichelGoalkeeperLeicester1.191.193.19
Asmir BegovicGoalkeeperBournemouth1.021.023.02
EdersonGoalkeeperMan City0.940.942.94
Fraser ForsterGoalkeeperSouthampton0.830.832.83
Joe HartGoalkeeperWest Ham0.680.682.68
Jordan PickfordGoalkeeperEverton0.390.392.39
Lee GrantGoalkeeperStoke0.390.392.39
Paulo GazzanigaGoalkeeperSpurs2.132.132.13
Michel VormGoalkeeperSpurs2.132.132.13
Loris KariusGoalkeeperLiverpool1.951.951.95
Danny WardGoalkeeperLiverpool1.951.951.95
Adam BogdanGoalkeeperLiverpool1.951.951.95
Willy CaballeroGoalkeeperChelsea1.931.931.93
EduardoGoalkeeperChelsea1.931.931.93
Wayne HennesseyGoalkeeperCrystal Palace1.621.621.62
Joel ColemanGoalkeeperHuddersfield1.591.591.59
Rob GreenGoalkeeperHuddersfield1.591.591.59
Kristoffer NordfeldtGoalkeeperSwansea1.521.521.52
Erwin MulderGoalkeeperSwansea1.521.521.52
Niki MaenpaaGoalkeeperBrighton1.491.491.49
Tim KrulGoalkeeperBrighton1.491.491.49
David OspinaGoalkeeperArsenal1.461.461.46
Matt MaceyGoalkeeperArsenal1.461.461.46
Anders LindegaardGoalkeeperBurnley1.441.441.44
Adam LegzdinsGoalkeeperBurnley1.441.441.44
Tom HeatonGoalkeeperBurnley1.441.441.44
Alex PalmerGoalkeeperWest Brom1.391.391.39
Boaz MyhillGoalkeeperWest Brom1.391.391.39
Joel PerreiraGoalkeeperManchester United1.341.341.34
Sergio RomeroGoalkeeperManchester United1.341.341.34
Freddie WoodmanGoalkeeperNewcastle1.31.31.3
Karl DarlowGoalkeeperNewcastle1.31.31.3
Orestis KarnezisGoalkeeperWatford1.261.261.26
Daniel BachmannGoalkeeperWatford1.261.261.26
Eldin JakupovicGoalkeeperLeicester1.191.191.19
Ben HamerGoalkeeperLeicester1.191.191.19
Aaron RamsdaleGoalkeeperBournemouth1.021.021.02
Adam FedericiGoalkeeperBournemouth1.021.021.02
Artur BorucGoalkeeperBournemouth1.021.021.02
Daniel GrimshawGoalkeeperMan City0.940.940.94
Claudio BravoGoalkeeperMan City0.940.940.94
Stuart TaylorGoalkeeperSouthampton0.830.830.83
Alex McCarthyGoalkeeperSouthampton0.830.830.83
AdrianGoalkeeperWest Ham0.680.680.68
Nathan TrottGoalkeeperWest Ham0.680.680.68
Jack ButlandGoalkeeperStoke0.390.390.39
Maarten StekelenburgGoalkeeperEverton0.390.390.39
Joel RoblesGoalkeeperEverton0.390.390.39
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