Expected Points Featured

Expected Points #GW12 – Odds On #FPL

So another week of FPL where a lot of the big guns play against weaker opposition. With Chelsea playing West Brom, City playing Leicester and Spurs playing Arsenal a lot of the bigger sides are playing much weaker opposition. Liverpool host Southampton, a side which have once again under performed this season laying in 13th position, with Mohamed Salah close to leading the scoring the charts as well as being this week’s most likely point scorer with 5.72 points.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool2.410.840.473.725.72
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City2.541.1203.665.66
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City2.521.1103.635.63
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool2.270.740.473.485.48
Romelu LukakuForwardManchester United2.371.0603.435.43
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.210.162.043.415.41
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City2.220.660.443.325.32
Antonio ValenciaDefenderManchester United0.760.072.413.255.25
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City2.150.620.443.215.21
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielderLiverpool2.040.580.473.095.09
Eric BaillyDefenderManchester United0.510.042.412.964.96
Phil JonesDefenderManchester United0.510.042.412.964.96
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea1.930.520.512.954.95
Harry KaneForwardSpurs2.10.8202.914.91
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderManchester United1.820.450.62.874.87
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea2.050.7702.824.82
Alexis SanchezMidfielderArsenal20.540.262.84.8
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea0.690.052.042.774.77
David LuizDefenderChelsea0.640.052.042.724.72
Gary CahillDefenderChelsea0.640.052.042.724.72
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth0.850.091.732.674.67
Anthony MartialMidfielderManchester United2.320.750.63.674.67
Adam SmithDefenderBournemouth0.80.091.732.634.63
Juan MataMidfielderManchester United1.620.370.62.584.58
RicharlisonMidfielderWatford1.760.460.352.574.57
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool1.90.6602.564.56
Marcus RashfordForwardManchester United1.880.6702.564.56
PedroMidfielderChelsea1.630.380.512.524.52
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City0.70.051.772.524.52
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea0.420.032.042.494.49
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City1.680.360.442.484.48
Joel MatipDefenderLiverpool0.530.041.892.464.46
DaniloDefenderMan City0.640.051.772.464.46
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool0.490.041.892.424.42
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth0.630.051.732.414.41
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace0.850.091.482.414.41
David de GeaGoalkeeperManchester United002.412.414.41
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth0.60.051.732.374.37
Wilfried ZahaMidfielderCrystal Palace1.590.390.372.354.35
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City0.550.041.772.354.35
John StonesDefenderMan City0.540.041.772.354.35
Adam LallanaMidfielderLiverpool1.550.320.472.344.34
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley0.460.041.832.334.33
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal1.780.5402.324.32
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley0.460.031.832.324.32
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton0.680.071.542.294.29
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs1.660.40.232.294.29
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley0.420.031.832.284.28
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace0.710.071.482.264.26
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley0.380.031.832.234.23
Chris WoodForwardBurnley1.640.5502.194.19
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton0.590.051.542.174.17
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford0.70.061.42.164.16
Paul PogbaMidfielderManchester United1.5400.62.144.14
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth1.620.4802.094.09
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton0.750.071.262.094.09
Bernardo SilvaMidfielderMan City2.060.580.443.084.08
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford0.640.051.42.084.08
Marcos RojoDefenderManchester United0.610.052.413.084.08
Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingMidfielderStoke1.420.320.332.074.07
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace0.530.051.482.054.05
Thibault CourtoisGoalkeeperChelsea002.042.044.04
Daley BlindDefenderManchester United0.570.042.413.034.03
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth1.560.4602.024.02
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford0.570.041.42.024.02
Sam VokesForwardBurnley1.520.4802.014.01
David SilvaMidfielderMan City1.350.220.442.014.01
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth1.310.250.4324
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton0.410.031.541.973.97
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford0.510.041.41.953.95
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace1.290.270.371.933.93
Tammy AbrahamForwardSwansea1.580.3301.913.91
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.481.893.89
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton0.580.051.261.893.89
Simon MignoletGoalkeeperLiverpool001.891.893.89
BrunoDefenderBrighton0.320.031.541.883.88
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton1.240.250.381.883.88
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderCrystal Palace0.370.031.481.883.88
Jese RodriguezMidfielderStoke1.310.250.331.883.88
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace1.460.4101.873.87
Geoff CameronDefenderStoke0.520.051.31.873.87
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton1.290.250.321.863.86
Tom PopeGoalkeeperBurnley001.831.833.83
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool0.860.081.892.833.83
Yaya ToureMidfielderMan City1.220.170.441.833.83
Andre GrayForwardWatford1.450.3801.833.83
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.330.260.241.833.83
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal0.720.071.031.823.82
Ryan ShawcrossDefenderStoke0.480.041.31.823.82
Kurt ZoumaDefenderStoke0.450.031.31.783.78
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford0.350.031.41.783.78
EdersonGoalkeeperMan City001.771.773.77
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.270.230.261.763.76
Alfie MawsonDefenderSwansea0.580.051.131.763.76
Marko ArnautovicMidfielderWest Ham1.280.240.241.763.76
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal1.270.220.261.753.75
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs1.310.220.231.753.75
Asmir BegovicGoalkeeperBournemouth001.731.733.73
ChicharitoForwardWest Ham1.360.3501.713.71
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton1.140.180.381.73.7
Robbie BradyMidfielderBurnley1.070.170.461.73.7
Manuel LanziniMidfielderWest Ham1.230.230.241.73.7
Jose IzquierdoMidfielderBrighton1.140.170.381.693.69
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderCrystal Palace1.140.190.371.693.69
Kevin WimmerDefenderStoke0.360.031.31.693.69
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham1.330.3401.683.68
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester1.330.3401.673.67
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderStoke1.140.210.331.673.67
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford1.120.20.351.673.67
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal0.570.051.031.653.65
Glen JohnsonDefenderStoke0.320.031.31.653.65
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford1.120.180.351.653.65
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal0.550.041.031.633.63
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal0.550.041.031.633.63
Ashley WilliamsDefenderEverton0.340.031.261.633.63
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool0.670.051.892.623.62
Tomer HemedForwardBrighton1.290.3201.613.61
Erik PietersDefenderStoke0.280.021.31.613.61
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford1.080.180.351.63.6
Tom InceMidfielderHuddersfield1.140.20.241.593.59
Emre CanMidfielderLiverpool0.970.150.471.593.59
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal0.50.041.031.583.58
Wayne RooneyForwardEverton1.270.3101.583.58
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool0.630.051.892.573.57
Jose FonteDefenderWest Ham0.550.040.971.563.56
Mat RyanGoalkeeperBrighton001.541.543.54
Winston ReidDefenderWest Ham0.50.050.971.533.53
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea0.450.032.042.523.52
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield0.510.040.981.523.52
Martin OlssonDefenderSwansea0.360.031.131.523.52
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham0.510.040.971.523.52
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield1.220.2901.53.5
Ashley YoungMidfielderManchester United0.80.080.61.493.49
Wayne HennesseyGoalkeeperCrystal Palace001.481.483.48
Yohan CabayeMidfielderCrystal Palace0.970.140.371.483.48
James MilnerDefenderLiverpool1.390.21.893.483.48
Toby AlderweireldDefenderSpurs0.540.040.91.483.48
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs0.530.040.91.473.47
Kyle NaughtonDefenderSwansea0.30.031.131.463.46
Federico FernandezDefenderSwansea0.30.021.131.453.45
Davy KlaassenMidfielderEverton0.990.130.321.443.44
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs0.50.030.91.443.44
Mathias Zanka JorgensenDefenderHuddersfield0.410.030.981.423.42
Joseph GomezDefenderLiverpool0.490.041.892.423.42
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton0.90.110.381.43.4
GomesGoalkeeperWatford001.41.43.4
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham0.390.030.971.43.4
Harry ArterMidfielderBournemouth0.860.10.431.393.39
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley0.830.10.461.393.39
Nemanja MaticMidfielderManchester United0.710.070.61.383.38
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield0.350.040.981.373.37
Son Heung-MinMidfielderSpurs1.730.420.232.373.37
Riyad MahrezMidfielderLeicester1.080.180.11.363.36
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool0.780.080.471.343.34
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham0.340.030.971.343.34
Joe AllenMidfielderStoke0.870.110.331.313.31
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace0.760.071.482.33.3
Tommy SmithDefenderHuddersfield0.30.020.981.33.3
Jack ButlandGoalkeeperStoke001.31.33.3
Dusan TadicMidfielderSouthampton10.160.131.293.29
Jay RodriguezForwardWest Brom1.040.2301.273.27
Jordan PickfordGoalkeeperEverton001.261.263.26
Aaron MooyMidfielderHuddersfield0.880.130.241.263.26
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace0.790.090.371.253.25
Leroy FerMidfielderSwansea0.850.120.281.253.25
Jonny EvansDefenderWest Brom0.410.040.81.253.25
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City1.510.30.442.243.24
Ahmed HegaziDefenderWest Brom0.40.030.81.233.23
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace0.760.080.371.213.21
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester10.1901.193.19
Matt PhillipsMidfielderWest Brom0.860.140.21.193.19
Mame Biram DioufForwardStoke0.990.1801.173.17
Kieran GibbsDefenderWest Brom0.330.030.81.153.15
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton0.880.130.131.133.13
Lukasz FabianskiGoalkeeperSwansea001.131.133.13
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea1.310.30.512.123.12
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley0.60.060.461.113.11
WillianMidfielderChelsea1.370.240.512.113.11
Chris SmallingDefenderManchester United0.620.052.413.093.09
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal0.730.080.261.073.07
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton0.630.060.381.073.07
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth0.30.021.732.063.06
NGolo KanteMidfielderChelsea0.510.040.511.063.06
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderWest Ham0.720.090.241.053.05
Mousa DembeleMidfielderSpurs0.740.070.231.043.04
Petr CechGoalkeeperArsenal001.031.033.03
Jordan AyewForwardSwansea0.860.1501.013.01
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace0.470.041.481.992.99
Jonas LosslGoalkeeperHuddersfield000.980.982.98
Joe HartGoalkeeperWest Ham000.970.972.97
Victor LindelofDefenderManchester United0.50.042.412.962.96
Axel TuanzebeDefenderManchester United0.510.042.412.962.96
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle0.740.090.130.962.96
Darren FletcherMidfielderStoke0.580.060.330.962.96
Luke ShawDefenderManchester United0.490.042.412.942.94
Matteo DarmianDefenderManchester United0.490.042.412.942.94
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle0.40.030.50.932.93
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton0.370.030.520.922.92
JoseluForwardNewcastle0.790.1200.912.91
Hugo LlorisGoalkeeperSpurs000.90.92.9
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.481.892.89
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester0.430.030.420.882.88
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle0.670.090.130.882.88
Kiko FemeniaDefenderWatford0.440.031.41.872.87
Chris BruntMidfielderWest Brom0.60.070.20.872.87
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle0.340.030.50.862.86
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley1.160.210.461.832.83
Eric DierMidfielderSpurs0.540.050.230.822.82
Renato SanchesMidfielderSwansea0.50.040.280.822.82
Andre AyewMidfielderWest Ham1.320.260.241.822.82
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth1.170.210.431.82.8
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester0.630.070.10.82.8
Ben FosterGoalkeeperWest Brom000.80.82.8
Grzegorz KrychowiakMidfielderWest Brom0.520.070.20.82.8
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester0.350.030.420.792.79
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle0.270.020.50.792.79
Sam ClucasMidfielderSwansea0.470.030.280.792.79
Erik LamelaMidfielderSpurs1.330.240.231.792.79
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton0.440.030.320.782.78
Tom CarrollMidfielderSwansea0.450.030.280.772.77
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton0.460.031.261.762.76
Andy KingMidfielderLeicester0.590.060.10.762.76
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton0.220.020.520.762.76
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle0.650.0900.742.74
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle0.210.020.50.732.73
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester0.290.020.420.722.72
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle0.20.020.50.722.72
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea0.610.052.042.692.69
Jake LivermoreMidfielderWest Brom0.440.040.20.682.68
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea0.590.042.042.672.67
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester0.220.020.420.662.66
Jake Clarke-SalterDefenderChelsea0.550.062.042.642.64
Gareth BarryMidfielderWest Brom0.40.040.20.642.64
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle0.460.040.130.632.63
Mikel MerinoMidfielderNewcastle0.420.070.130.622.62
Scott ArfieldMidfielderBurnley0.980.160.461.62.6
Cuco MartinaDefenderEverton0.30.021.261.592.59
Jesse LingardMidfielderManchester United1.630.360.62.592.59
Danny RoseDefenderSpurs0.630.060.91.592.59
Jamie MurphyMidfielderBrighton1.030.160.381.582.58
Oriol RomeuMidfielderSouthampton0.40.040.130.572.57
Rob HoldingDefenderArsenal0.490.041.031.562.56
Claudio YacobMidfielderWest Brom0.330.030.20.562.56
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth0.970.130.431.542.54
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford1.020.160.351.532.53
Fraser ForsterGoalkeeperSouthampton000.520.522.52
Solly MarchMidfielderBrighton0.980.140.381.512.51
Jon FlanaganDefenderLiverpool0.530.081.892.52.5
Rob ElliotGoalkeeperNewcastle000.50.52.5
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs0.560.040.91.52.5
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle0.330.030.130.492.49
Ross BarkleyMidfielderEverton0.990.140.321.452.45
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool1.860.5902.452.45
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderStoke0.980.140.331.452.45
Davinson SanchezDefenderSpurs0.50.030.91.442.44
Elias KachungaMidfielderHuddersfield1.030.160.241.432.43
Marouane FellainiMidfielderManchester United1.490.330.62.432.43
Kasper SchmeichelGoalkeeperLeicester000.420.422.42
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth0.880.10.431.412.41
Sergio RomeroGoalkeeperManchester United002.412.412.41
Joel PerreiraGoalkeeperManchester United002.412.412.41
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs0.460.030.91.42.4
James CollinsDefenderWest Ham0.40.030.971.42.4
Arthur MasuakuDefenderWest Ham0.40.030.971.42.4
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton1.140.2501.392.39
Gareth McAuleyDefenderWest Brom0.540.050.81.392.39
Ragnar KlavanDefenderLiverpool0.440.031.892.362.36
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester1.110.2301.342.34
Tosin AdarabioyoDefenderMan City0.530.041.772.342.34
Eliaquim MangalaDefenderMan City0.520.041.772.332.33
Wilfried BonyForwardSwansea1.090.2301.332.33
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley0.40.061.832.32.3
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley0.430.031.832.292.29
Michy BatshuayiForwardChelsea1.760.5302.292.29
Tiemoue BakayokoMidfielderChelsea0.70.080.511.292.29
FernandinhoMidfielderMan City0.770.070.441.292.29
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley0.410.031.832.272.27
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield0.90.120.241.272.27
Dan GoslingMidfielderBournemouth0.740.070.431.252.25
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton1.040.2101.252.25
Will HughesMidfielderWatford0.810.090.351.252.25
Ovie EjariaMidfielderLiverpool1.440.320.472.242.24
Fabian DelphMidfielderMan City0.730.060.441.232.23
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton1.030.201.232.23
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford0.750.081.42.232.23
Olivier GiroudForwardArsenal1.70.5102.212.21
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace0.730.090.371.192.19
Wayne RoutledgeMidfielderSwansea0.80.10.281.182.18
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton0.760.090.321.172.17
Ben WoodburnMidfielderLiverpool1.440.250.472.172.17
Hal Robson-KanuForwardWest Brom0.960.2101.172.17
Islam SlimaniForwardLeicester0.990.1701.162.16
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth0.650.060.431.142.14
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool1.660.4702.132.13
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs0.810.090.231.122.12
Phil FodenMidfielderMan City1.40.260.442.112.11
Fernando LlorenteForwardSpurs1.630.4802.112.11
Charly MusondaMidfielderChelsea1.330.260.512.12.1
Leonardo UlloaForwardLeicester0.890.2101.12.1
Theo WalcottMidfielderArsenal1.520.310.262.092.09
Alex Oxlade-ChamberlainMidfielderLiverpool1.380.240.472.092.09
Uwe HunemeierDefenderBrighton0.480.061.542.072.07
Shane LongForwardSouthampton0.90.1701.072.07
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford0.620.061.42.072.07
Chuba AkpomForwardArsenal1.620.4402.062.06
Victor WanyamaMidfielderSpurs0.750.080.231.062.06
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham0.740.080.241.062.06
Lewis CookMidfielderBournemouth0.550.050.431.042.04
Willy CaballeroGoalkeeperChelsea002.042.042.04
EduardoGoalkeeperChelsea002.042.042.04
Allan NyomDefenderWest Brom0.210.020.81.032.03
Ales MatejuDefenderBrighton0.390.071.5422
Callum WilsonForwardBournemouth1.540.4501.991.99
Marvin ZeegelaarDefenderWatford0.50.091.41.991.99
Connor GoldsonDefenderBrighton0.410.031.541.981.98
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton0.410.031.541.971.97
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.410.030.520.961.96
Molla WagueDefenderWatford0.510.041.41.941.94
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton0.560.060.320.931.93
Dwight GayleForwardNewcastle0.810.1300.931.93
Ki Sung-yuengMidfielderSwansea0.570.060.280.911.91
Marko GrujicMidfielderLiverpool1.220.20.471.91.9
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton0.690.080.130.91.9
Danny WardGoalkeeperLiverpool001.891.891.89
Loris KariusGoalkeeperLiverpool001.891.891.89
Adam BogdanGoalkeeperLiverpool001.891.891.89
Scott McTominayMidfielderManchester United1.120.170.61.891.89
Bakary SakoMidfielderCrystal Palace1.290.220.371.881.88
Oleksandr ZinchenkoMidfielderMan City1.250.190.441.881.88
Jonathan WaltersMidfielderBurnley1.3900.461.851.85
Liam RoseniorDefenderBrighton0.290.021.541.841.84
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.031.481.841.84
Danny IngsForwardLiverpool1.540.3101.841.84
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton0.30.030.520.841.84
Gaetan BongDefenderBrighton0.270.021.541.831.83
Isaiah BrownMidfielderBrighton1.220.230.381.831.83
Tom HeatonGoalkeeperBurnley001.831.831.83
Adam LegzdinsGoalkeeperBurnley001.831.831.83
Anders LindegaardGoalkeeperBurnley001.831.831.83
Damien DelaneyDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.031.481.831.83
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton0.280.030.520.821.82
Benik AfobeForwardBournemouth1.430.3801.811.81
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace0.310.021.481.811.81
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester0.640.060.10.811.81
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton0.590.070.130.791.79
Claudio BravoGoalkeeperMan City001.771.771.77
Daniel GrimshawGoalkeeperMan City001.771.771.77
Danny WelbeckForwardArsenal1.40.3501.751.75
Reiss NelsonMidfielderArsenal1.310.190.261.751.75
Josh TymonDefenderStoke0.410.031.31.751.75
Julien NgoyMidfielderStoke1.210.220.331.751.75
Artur BorucGoalkeeperBournemouth001.731.731.73
Aaron RamsdaleGoalkeeperBournemouth001.731.731.73
Harry SoutarDefenderStoke0.390.041.31.731.73
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal1.260.210.261.721.72
Kevin MirallasMidfielderEverton1.190.210.321.721.72
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford1.390.3301.721.72
Sullay KaikaiMidfielderCrystal Palace1.140.20.371.71.7
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton0.530.050.130.71.7
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton1.340.3401.681.68
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton0.380.031.261.671.67
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton1.140.20.321.661.66
Eddie NketiahForwardArsenal1.310.3301.641.64
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley1.020.150.461.641.64
Thomas EdwardsDefenderStoke0.310.021.31.641.64
Bruno Martins IndiDefenderStoke0.320.031.31.641.64
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton0.330.031.261.621.62
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley1.280.3201.61.6
Per MertesackerDefenderArsenal0.520.041.031.591.59
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth1.290.301.591.59
Nahki WellsForwardBurnley1.280.3101.591.59
Ander HerreraMidfielderManchester United0.880.10.61.591.59
Andre CarrilloMidfielderSwansea1.130.180.281.591.59
Soufyan AhannachMidfielderBrighton1.050.150.381.581.58
Jerome SinclairForwardWatford1.280.2901.581.58
Ahmed MusaMidfielderLeicester1.240.230.11.571.57
Mike van der HoornDefenderSwansea0.410.031.131.571.57
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham0.560.040.971.571.57
Calum ChambersDefenderArsenal0.490.041.031.561.56
Tim KrulGoalkeeperBrighton001.541.541.54
Niki MaenpaaGoalkeeperBrighton001.541.541.54
Connor MahoneyMidfielderBournemouth0.80.290.431.531.53
Des HutchinsonMidfielderBrighton10.150.381.531.53
Leon BrittonDefenderSwansea0.350.031.131.511.51
Scott MaloneDefenderHuddersfield0.480.040.981.51.5
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool0.930.10.471.51.5
Sead HaksabanovicMidfielderWest Ham1.080.180.241.51.5
Julian SperoniGoalkeeperCrystal Palace001.481.481.48
Diafra SakhoForwardWest Ham1.20.2801.481.48
Abdelhamid SabiriMidfielderHuddersfield1.060.170.241.471.47
Thibaud VerlindenMidfielderStoke0.980.160.331.471.47
Angel RangelDefenderSwansea0.310.031.131.471.47
Jeff Reine-AdelaideMidfielderArsenal1.050.150.261.461.46
Oumar NiasseForwardEverton1.190.2701.461.46
Michael HefeleDefenderHuddersfield0.450.030.981.461.46
Mathieu DebuchyDefenderArsenal0.40.031.031.461.46
Nikola VlasicMidfielderEverton0.970.140.321.431.43
Peter CrouchForwardStoke1.170.2601.431.43
Levi LumekaMidfielderCrystal Palace0.90.140.371.421.42
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderChelsea0.80.10.511.411.41
Sam ByramDefenderWest Ham0.40.040.971.411.41
Orestis KarnezisGoalkeeperWatford001.41.41.4
Daniel BachmannGoalkeeperWatford001.41.41.4
Georges-Kevin NkoudouMidfielderSpurs1.030.140.231.391.39
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs0.440.030.91.381.38
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield1.120.2501.371.37
Nacer ChadliMidfielderWest Brom0.990.170.21.361.36
Sandro RamirezForwardEverton1.110.2301.341.34
Kasey PalmerMidfielderHuddersfield0.950.140.241.331.33
Jack WilshereMidfielderArsenal0.940.120.261.321.32
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs0.380.030.91.321.32
Saido BerahinoForwardStoke1.090.2201.321.32
Nathan HollandMidfielderWest Ham0.950.120.241.321.32
Martin CranieDefenderHuddersfield0.310.020.981.31.3
Lee GrantGoalkeeperStoke001.31.31.3
KenedyMidfielderEverton0.870.090.321.281.28
Aaron LennonMidfielderEverton0.850.110.321.281.28
Salomon RondonForwardWest Brom1.040.2401.281.28
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield0.280.020.981.271.27
Freddie LadapoForwardCrystal Palace1.050.2101.261.26
Maarten StekelenburgGoalkeeperEverton001.261.261.26
Joel RoblesGoalkeeperEverton001.261.261.26
Joe LolleyMidfielderHuddersfield0.890.130.241.261.26
Lee Chung-yongMidfielderCrystal Palace0.780.090.371.241.24
Kyle ScottMidfielderChelsea0.660.060.511.231.23
Charlie AdamMidfielderStoke0.810.10.331.231.23
Ibrahim AfellayMidfielderStoke0.810.10.331.231.23
Oliver BurkeMidfielderWest Brom0.880.140.21.211.21
Charlie GilmourMidfielderArsenal0.830.10.261.191.19
Sofiane BoufalMidfielderSouthampton0.920.140.131.191.19
Dean MarneyMidfielderBurnley0.650.070.461.181.18
Sam McQueenDefenderSouthampton0.590.070.521.171.17
Luciano NarsinghMidfielderSwansea0.770.090.281.151.15
Nathan DyerMidfielderSwansea0.760.090.281.141.14
Michael CarrickMidfielderManchester United0.5300.61.131.13
Josh SimsMidfielderSouthampton0.760.240.131.131.13
Erwin MulderGoalkeeperSwansea001.131.131.13
Kristoffer NordfeldtGoalkeeperSwansea001.131.131.13
Jordon MutchMidfielderCrystal Palace0.690.060.371.121.12
Jayson MolumbyMidfielderBrighton0.670.060.381.111.11
Stephen IrelandMidfielderStoke0.710.070.331.11.1
Nathan DyerMidfielderWest Ham0.760.090.241.11.1
James McCleanMidfielderWest Brom0.770.120.21.081.08
Virgil van DijkDefenderSouthampton0.50.040.521.061.06
Ben WatsonMidfielderWatford0.650.060.351.061.06
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs0.750.070.231.051.05
James MorrisonMidfielderWest Brom0.760.090.21.051.05
Jacob MurphyMidfielderWest Ham0.720.090.241.051.05
Jeremy PiedDefenderSouthampton0.440.090.521.041.04
David OspinaGoalkeeperArsenal001.031.031.03
Matt MaceyGoalkeeperArsenal001.031.031.03
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley0.520.050.461.021.02
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield0.880.1401.021.02
Ben ChilwellDefenderLeicester0.540.050.4211
Oliver McBurnieForwardSwansea0.860.14011
Jordon MutchMidfielderWest Ham0.690.060.2411
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester0.790.10.10.990.99
Rob GreenGoalkeeperHuddersfield000.980.980.98
Joel ColemanGoalkeeperHuddersfield000.980.980.98
AdrianGoalkeeperWest Ham000.970.970.97
Nathan TrottGoalkeeperWest Ham000.970.970.97
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton0.580.050.320.950.95
Beram KayalMidfielderBrighton0.520.040.380.940.94
Jacob MurphyMidfielderNewcastle0.720.090.130.930.93
Edimilson FernandesMidfielderWest Ham0.610.060.240.910.91
Michel VormGoalkeeperSpurs000.90.90.9
Paulo GazzanigaGoalkeeperSpurs000.90.90.9
Matty JamesDefenderLeicester0.450.030.420.890.89
Joe WillockForwardArsenal0.780.100.880.88
Danny WilliamsMidfielderHuddersfield0.570.060.240.880.88
Ainsley Maitland-NilesMidfielderArsenal0.560.050.260.870.87
Josh KnightDefenderLeicester0.410.050.420.870.87
Aleksandar MitrovicForwardNewcastle0.750.1200.870.87
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton0.280.050.520.850.85
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton0.280.050.520.850.85
Mohamed ElnenyMidfielderArsenal0.560.030.260.840.84
Daniel AmarteyDefenderLeicester0.380.030.420.830.83
Yohan BenalouaneDefenderLeicester0.360.050.420.830.83
Tashan Oakley-BootheMidfielderSpurs0.550.050.230.830.83
Jamie SterryDefenderNewcastle0.290.030.50.820.82
Boaz MyhillGoalkeeperWest Brom000.80.80.8
Alex PalmerGoalkeeperWest Brom000.80.80.8
Beram KayalMidfielderWest Ham0.520.040.240.80.8
Muhamed BesicMidfielderEverton0.440.030.320.790.79
Chancel MbembaDefenderNewcastle0.260.020.50.790.79
Jay FultonMidfielderSwansea0.440.030.280.760.76
Francis CoquelinMidfielderArsenal0.450.040.260.740.74
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle0.550.060.130.740.74
Roque MesaMidfielderSwansea0.420.030.280.740.74
Massadio HaidaraDefenderNewcastle0.210.020.50.730.73
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham0.450.040.240.730.73
Aleksander DragovicDefenderLeicester0.270.020.420.710.71
Hamza ChoudhuryMidfielderLeicester0.530.080.10.710.71
Dean WhiteheadMidfielderHuddersfield0.410.050.240.70.7
Jesus GamezDefenderNewcastle0.180.020.50.70.7
Sam FieldMidfielderWest Brom0.420.060.20.680.68
Josh Da SilvaForwardArsenal0.60.0600.660.66
Rolando AaronsMidfielderNewcastle0.440.10.130.660.66
Pierre-Emile HojbjergMidfielderSouthampton0.490.040.130.660.66
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield0.370.030.240.650.65
Henri SaivetMidfielderNewcastle0.430.070.130.620.62
Stuart TaylorGoalkeeperSouthampton000.520.520.52
Alex McCarthyGoalkeeperSouthampton000.520.520.52
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester0.380.030.10.510.51
Karl DarlowGoalkeeperNewcastle000.50.50.5
Freddie WoodmanGoalkeeperNewcastle000.50.50.5
Anthony GeorgiouForwardSpurs0.450.0400.490.49
Eldin JakupovicGoalkeeperLeicester000.420.420.42
Ben HamerGoalkeeperLeicester000.420.420.42
Antonio MartinezForwardWest Ham000

FAQ: We rate our player’s sum expectancy points off of a table which we edit with regularity, but as only I monitor it there can be players which are down as expected starters when in reality they are not. If you wish to look at the list of expected starters you can find it here: https://oddsonfpl.com/nailed-on-or-not/

Forwards

With Gabriel Jesus the only striker out of himself and Sergio Aguero not to faint during international duty, you’d most likely think the Brazilian would start this weekend for Manchester City. The 20-year-old has been directly involved in 33 goals in his last 35 games for club and country, what a player. Ex-Blue Paul Dickov summed up how dangerous it is for City to pick up an injury during the international break:

Romelu Lukaku was Belgium’s top scorer, then he wasn’t, sort of like how he was Premier League top scorer, then he stopped scoring. With his animalistic natures taking over in an interview recently, the striker is as confident as ever and could net against Newcastle. Big Rom is expected to score 5.43 points this game week.

“I was born to score. I don’t think many strikers of my generation have as many goals as me. I am like a leopard in the box.”

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City2.541.1203.665.66
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City2.521.1103.635.63
Romelu LukakuForwardManchester United2.371.0603.435.43
Harry KaneForwardSpurs2.10.8202.914.91
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea2.050.7702.824.82
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool1.90.6602.564.56
Marcus RashfordForwardManchester United1.880.6702.564.56
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal1.780.5402.324.32
Chris WoodForwardBurnley1.640.5502.194.19
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth1.620.4802.094.09
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth1.560.4602.024.02
Sam VokesForwardBurnley1.520.4802.014.01
Tammy AbrahamForwardSwansea1.580.3301.913.91
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace1.460.4101.873.87
Andre GrayForwardWatford1.450.3801.833.83
ChicharitoForwardWest Ham1.360.3501.713.71
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham1.330.3401.683.68
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester1.330.3401.673.67
Tomer HemedForwardBrighton1.290.3201.613.61
Wayne RooneyForwardEverton1.270.3101.583.58
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield1.220.2901.53.5
Jay RodriguezForwardWest Brom1.040.2301.273.27
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester10.1901.193.19
Mame Biram DioufForwardStoke0.990.1801.173.17
Jordan AyewForwardSwansea0.860.1501.013.01
JoseluForwardNewcastle0.790.1200.912.91
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle0.650.0900.742.74
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool1.860.5902.452.45
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton1.140.2501.392.39
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester1.110.2301.342.34
Wilfried BonyForwardSwansea1.090.2301.332.33
Michy BatshuayiForwardChelsea1.760.5302.292.29
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton1.040.2101.252.25
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton1.030.201.232.23
Olivier GiroudForwardArsenal1.70.5102.212.21
Hal Robson-KanuForwardWest Brom0.960.2101.172.17
Islam SlimaniForwardLeicester0.990.1701.162.16
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool1.660.4702.132.13
Fernando LlorenteForwardSpurs1.630.4802.112.11
Leonardo UlloaForwardLeicester0.890.2101.12.1
Shane LongForwardSouthampton0.90.1701.072.07
Chuba AkpomForwardArsenal1.620.4402.062.06
Callum WilsonForwardBournemouth1.540.4501.991.99
Dwight GayleForwardNewcastle0.810.1300.931.93
Danny IngsForwardLiverpool1.540.3101.841.84
Benik AfobeForwardBournemouth1.430.3801.811.81
Danny WelbeckForwardArsenal1.40.3501.751.75
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford1.390.3301.721.72
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton1.340.3401.681.68
Eddie NketiahForwardArsenal1.310.3301.641.64
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley1.280.3201.61.6
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth1.290.301.591.59
Nahki WellsForwardBurnley1.280.3101.591.59
Jerome SinclairForwardWatford1.280.2901.581.58
Diafra SakhoForwardWest Ham1.20.2801.481.48
Oumar NiasseForwardEverton1.190.2701.461.46
Peter CrouchForwardStoke1.170.2601.431.43
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield1.120.2501.371.37
Sandro RamirezForwardEverton1.110.2301.341.34
Saido BerahinoForwardStoke1.090.2201.321.32
Salomon RondonForwardWest Brom1.040.2401.281.28
Freddie LadapoForwardCrystal Palace1.050.2101.261.26
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield0.880.1401.021.02
Oliver McBurnieForwardSwansea0.860.14011
Joe WillockForwardArsenal0.780.100.880.88
Aleksandar MitrovicForwardNewcastle0.750.1200.870.87
Josh Da SilvaForwardArsenal0.60.0600.660.66
Anthony GeorgiouForwardSpurs0.450.0400.490.49
Antonio MartinezForwardWest Ham000

Midfielders

Mohamed Salah is this week’s TOP EXPECTED POINT SCORER! Surprisingly many people still haven’t brought in Salah after his early-season exploits. Those dumb, dumb, people – I include myself on that list. The Egyptian has taken the division by storm and was rested for the national side after guiding them to the World Cup. Look how happy he is, surely that means he’s about to score a hat trick? Please say no.

Leroy Sane is one of those players who many expected to have a good season, that was until he started the season and barely got any minutes under Pep. That, and when he did get minutes it was out of position as a left wing back to accommodate Vincent Kompany. Since Kompany has gotten injured Sane has come back into the side and shown exactly what he is about, scoring, assisting and leaving defenders on their arses. Jogi Loew recently sniffed his pits and praised Sane’s progression over the last season, after the midfielder missed out on the confederations cup.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool2.410.840.473.725.72
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool2.270.740.473.485.48
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City2.220.660.443.325.32
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City2.150.620.443.215.21
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielderLiverpool2.040.580.473.095.09
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea1.930.520.512.954.95
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderManchester United1.820.450.62.874.87
Alexis SanchezMidfielderArsenal20.540.262.84.8
Anthony MartialMidfielderManchester United2.320.750.63.674.67
Juan MataMidfielderManchester United1.620.370.62.584.58
RicharlisonMidfielderWatford1.760.460.352.574.57
PedroMidfielderChelsea1.630.380.512.524.52
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City1.680.360.442.484.48
Wilfried ZahaMidfielderCrystal Palace1.590.390.372.354.35
Adam LallanaMidfielderLiverpool1.550.320.472.344.34
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs1.660.40.232.294.29
Paul PogbaMidfielderManchester United1.5400.62.144.14
Bernardo SilvaMidfielderMan City2.060.580.443.084.08
Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingMidfielderStoke1.420.320.332.074.07
David SilvaMidfielderMan City1.350.220.442.014.01
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth1.310.250.4324
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace1.290.270.371.933.93
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton1.240.250.381.883.88
Jese RodriguezMidfielderStoke1.310.250.331.883.88
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton1.290.250.321.863.86
Yaya ToureMidfielderMan City1.220.170.441.833.83
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.330.260.241.833.83
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.270.230.261.763.76
Marko ArnautovicMidfielderWest Ham1.280.240.241.763.76
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal1.270.220.261.753.75
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs1.310.220.231.753.75
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton1.140.180.381.73.7
Robbie BradyMidfielderBurnley1.070.170.461.73.7
Manuel LanziniMidfielderWest Ham1.230.230.241.73.7
Jose IzquierdoMidfielderBrighton1.140.170.381.693.69
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderCrystal Palace1.140.190.371.693.69
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderStoke1.140.210.331.673.67
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford1.120.20.351.673.67
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford1.120.180.351.653.65
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford1.080.180.351.63.6
Tom InceMidfielderHuddersfield1.140.20.241.593.59
Emre CanMidfielderLiverpool0.970.150.471.593.59
Ashley YoungMidfielderManchester United0.80.080.61.493.49
Yohan CabayeMidfielderCrystal Palace0.970.140.371.483.48
Davy KlaassenMidfielderEverton0.990.130.321.443.44
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton0.90.110.381.43.4
Harry ArterMidfielderBournemouth0.860.10.431.393.39
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley0.830.10.461.393.39
Nemanja MaticMidfielderManchester United0.710.070.61.383.38
Son Heung-MinMidfielderSpurs1.730.420.232.373.37
Riyad MahrezMidfielderLeicester1.080.180.11.363.36
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool0.780.080.471.343.34
Joe AllenMidfielderStoke0.870.110.331.313.31
Dusan TadicMidfielderSouthampton10.160.131.293.29
Aaron MooyMidfielderHuddersfield0.880.130.241.263.26
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace0.790.090.371.253.25
Leroy FerMidfielderSwansea0.850.120.281.253.25
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City1.510.30.442.243.24
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace0.760.080.371.213.21
Matt PhillipsMidfielderWest Brom0.860.140.21.193.19
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton0.880.130.131.133.13
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea1.310.30.512.123.12
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley0.60.060.461.113.11
WillianMidfielderChelsea1.370.240.512.113.11
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal0.730.080.261.073.07
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton0.630.060.381.073.07
NGolo KanteMidfielderChelsea0.510.040.511.063.06
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderWest Ham0.720.090.241.053.05
Mousa DembeleMidfielderSpurs0.740.070.231.043.04
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle0.740.090.130.962.96
Darren FletcherMidfielderStoke0.580.060.330.962.96
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle0.670.090.130.882.88
Chris BruntMidfielderWest Brom0.60.070.20.872.87
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley1.160.210.461.832.83
Eric DierMidfielderSpurs0.540.050.230.822.82
Renato SanchesMidfielderSwansea0.50.040.280.822.82
Andre AyewMidfielderWest Ham1.320.260.241.822.82
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth1.170.210.431.82.8
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester0.630.070.10.82.8
Grzegorz KrychowiakMidfielderWest Brom0.520.070.20.82.8
Sam ClucasMidfielderSwansea0.470.030.280.792.79
Erik LamelaMidfielderSpurs1.330.240.231.792.79
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton0.440.030.320.782.78
Tom CarrollMidfielderSwansea0.450.030.280.772.77
Andy KingMidfielderLeicester0.590.060.10.762.76
Jake LivermoreMidfielderWest Brom0.440.040.20.682.68
Gareth BarryMidfielderWest Brom0.40.040.20.642.64
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle0.460.040.130.632.63
Mikel MerinoMidfielderNewcastle0.420.070.130.622.62
Scott ArfieldMidfielderBurnley0.980.160.461.62.6
Jesse LingardMidfielderManchester United1.630.360.62.592.59
Jamie MurphyMidfielderBrighton1.030.160.381.582.58
Oriol RomeuMidfielderSouthampton0.40.040.130.572.57
Claudio YacobMidfielderWest Brom0.330.030.20.562.56
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth0.970.130.431.542.54
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford1.020.160.351.532.53
Solly MarchMidfielderBrighton0.980.140.381.512.51
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle0.330.030.130.492.49
Ross BarkleyMidfielderEverton0.990.140.321.452.45
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderStoke0.980.140.331.452.45
Elias KachungaMidfielderHuddersfield1.030.160.241.432.43
Marouane FellainiMidfielderManchester United1.490.330.62.432.43
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth0.880.10.431.412.41
Tiemoue BakayokoMidfielderChelsea0.70.080.511.292.29
FernandinhoMidfielderMan City0.770.070.441.292.29
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield0.90.120.241.272.27
Dan GoslingMidfielderBournemouth0.740.070.431.252.25
Will HughesMidfielderWatford0.810.090.351.252.25
Ovie EjariaMidfielderLiverpool1.440.320.472.242.24
Fabian DelphMidfielderMan City0.730.060.441.232.23
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace0.730.090.371.192.19
Wayne RoutledgeMidfielderSwansea0.80.10.281.182.18
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton0.760.090.321.172.17
Ben WoodburnMidfielderLiverpool1.440.250.472.172.17
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth0.650.060.431.142.14
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs0.810.090.231.122.12
Phil FodenMidfielderMan City1.40.260.442.112.11
Charly MusondaMidfielderChelsea1.330.260.512.12.1
Theo WalcottMidfielderArsenal1.520.310.262.092.09
Alex Oxlade-ChamberlainMidfielderLiverpool1.380.240.472.092.09
Victor WanyamaMidfielderSpurs0.750.080.231.062.06
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham0.740.080.241.062.06
Lewis CookMidfielderBournemouth0.550.050.431.042.04
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton0.560.060.320.931.93
Ki Sung-yuengMidfielderSwansea0.570.060.280.911.91
Marko GrujicMidfielderLiverpool1.220.20.471.91.9
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton0.690.080.130.91.9
Scott McTominayMidfielderManchester United1.120.170.61.891.89
Bakary SakoMidfielderCrystal Palace1.290.220.371.881.88
Oleksandr ZinchenkoMidfielderMan City1.250.190.441.881.88
Jonathan WaltersMidfielderBurnley1.3900.461.851.85
Isaiah BrownMidfielderBrighton1.220.230.381.831.83
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester0.640.060.10.811.81
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton0.590.070.130.791.79
Reiss NelsonMidfielderArsenal1.310.190.261.751.75
Julien NgoyMidfielderStoke1.210.220.331.751.75
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal1.260.210.261.721.72
Kevin MirallasMidfielderEverton1.190.210.321.721.72
Sullay KaikaiMidfielderCrystal Palace1.140.20.371.71.7
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton0.530.050.130.71.7
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton1.140.20.321.661.66
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley1.020.150.461.641.64
Ander HerreraMidfielderManchester United0.880.10.61.591.59
Andre CarrilloMidfielderSwansea1.130.180.281.591.59
Soufyan AhannachMidfielderBrighton1.050.150.381.581.58
Ahmed MusaMidfielderLeicester1.240.230.11.571.57
Connor MahoneyMidfielderBournemouth0.80.290.431.531.53
Des HutchinsonMidfielderBrighton10.150.381.531.53
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool0.930.10.471.51.5
Sead HaksabanovicMidfielderWest Ham1.080.180.241.51.5
Abdelhamid SabiriMidfielderHuddersfield1.060.170.241.471.47
Thibaud VerlindenMidfielderStoke0.980.160.331.471.47
Jeff Reine-AdelaideMidfielderArsenal1.050.150.261.461.46
Nikola VlasicMidfielderEverton0.970.140.321.431.43
Levi LumekaMidfielderCrystal Palace0.90.140.371.421.42
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderChelsea0.80.10.511.411.41
Georges-Kevin NkoudouMidfielderSpurs1.030.140.231.391.39
Nacer ChadliMidfielderWest Brom0.990.170.21.361.36
Kasey PalmerMidfielderHuddersfield0.950.140.241.331.33
Jack WilshereMidfielderArsenal0.940.120.261.321.32
Nathan HollandMidfielderWest Ham0.950.120.241.321.32
KenedyMidfielderEverton0.870.090.321.281.28
Aaron LennonMidfielderEverton0.850.110.321.281.28
Joe LolleyMidfielderHuddersfield0.890.130.241.261.26
Lee Chung-yongMidfielderCrystal Palace0.780.090.371.241.24
Kyle ScottMidfielderChelsea0.660.060.511.231.23
Charlie AdamMidfielderStoke0.810.10.331.231.23
Ibrahim AfellayMidfielderStoke0.810.10.331.231.23
Oliver BurkeMidfielderWest Brom0.880.140.21.211.21
Charlie GilmourMidfielderArsenal0.830.10.261.191.19
Sofiane BoufalMidfielderSouthampton0.920.140.131.191.19
Dean MarneyMidfielderBurnley0.650.070.461.181.18
Luciano NarsinghMidfielderSwansea0.770.090.281.151.15
Nathan DyerMidfielderSwansea0.760.090.281.141.14
Michael CarrickMidfielderManchester United0.5300.61.131.13
Josh SimsMidfielderSouthampton0.760.240.131.131.13
Jordon MutchMidfielderCrystal Palace0.690.060.371.121.12
Jayson MolumbyMidfielderBrighton0.670.060.381.111.11
Stephen IrelandMidfielderStoke0.710.070.331.11.1
Nathan DyerMidfielderWest Ham0.760.090.241.11.1
James McCleanMidfielderWest Brom0.770.120.21.081.08
Ben WatsonMidfielderWatford0.650.060.351.061.06
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs0.750.070.231.051.05
James MorrisonMidfielderWest Brom0.760.090.21.051.05
Jacob MurphyMidfielderWest Ham0.720.090.241.051.05
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley0.520.050.461.021.02
Jordon MutchMidfielderWest Ham0.690.060.2411
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester0.790.10.10.990.99
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton0.580.050.320.950.95
Beram KayalMidfielderBrighton0.520.040.380.940.94
Jacob MurphyMidfielderNewcastle0.720.090.130.930.93
Edimilson FernandesMidfielderWest Ham0.610.060.240.910.91
Danny WilliamsMidfielderHuddersfield0.570.060.240.880.88
Ainsley Maitland-NilesMidfielderArsenal0.560.050.260.870.87
Mohamed ElnenyMidfielderArsenal0.560.030.260.840.84
Tashan Oakley-BootheMidfielderSpurs0.550.050.230.830.83
Beram KayalMidfielderWest Ham0.520.040.240.80.8
Muhamed BesicMidfielderEverton0.440.030.320.790.79
Jay FultonMidfielderSwansea0.440.030.280.760.76
Francis CoquelinMidfielderArsenal0.450.040.260.740.74
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle0.550.060.130.740.74
Roque MesaMidfielderSwansea0.420.030.280.740.74
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham0.450.040.240.730.73
Hamza ChoudhuryMidfielderLeicester0.530.080.10.710.71
Dean WhiteheadMidfielderHuddersfield0.410.050.240.70.7
Sam FieldMidfielderWest Brom0.420.060.20.680.68
Rolando AaronsMidfielderNewcastle0.440.10.130.660.66
Pierre-Emile HojbjergMidfielderSouthampton0.490.040.130.660.66
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield0.370.030.240.650.65
Henri SaivetMidfielderNewcastle0.430.070.130.620.62
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester0.380.030.10.510.51

Defenders

Does anyone else think that Charlie Daniels as a name sounds like someone who would canvass for UKIP or be that annoying vegan kid who doesn’t like hot dogs? Remeber Charlie Daniels‘ BLOOTER against Manchester City earlier in the season? We memba. He’s expected to score a massive 4.67 points. While we think that that goal against Manchester City could be the anomaly, instead of the norm, the bookies still think the Cherries are likely to keep a clean sheet against Huddersfield.

Marcos Alonso has gone from essential to essentially useless over the course of 5 game weeks. The wing-back is expected to score 5.41 points this game week, but with fans thinking he is done at the club as of late, and horrendously out of form there are probably better options to have, especially given the cost of the Spaniard.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.210.162.043.415.41
Antonio ValenciaDefenderManchester United0.760.072.413.255.25
Eric BaillyDefenderManchester United0.510.042.412.964.96
Phil JonesDefenderManchester United0.510.042.412.964.96
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea0.690.052.042.774.77
David LuizDefenderChelsea0.640.052.042.724.72
Gary CahillDefenderChelsea0.640.052.042.724.72
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth0.850.091.732.674.67
Adam SmithDefenderBournemouth0.80.091.732.634.63
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City0.70.051.772.524.52
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea0.420.032.042.494.49
Joel MatipDefenderLiverpool0.530.041.892.464.46
DaniloDefenderMan City0.640.051.772.464.46
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool0.490.041.892.424.42
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth0.630.051.732.414.41
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace0.850.091.482.414.41
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth0.60.051.732.374.37
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City0.550.041.772.354.35
John StonesDefenderMan City0.540.041.772.354.35
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley0.460.041.832.334.33
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley0.460.031.832.324.32
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton0.680.071.542.294.29
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley0.420.031.832.284.28
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace0.710.071.482.264.26
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley0.380.031.832.234.23
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton0.590.051.542.174.17
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford0.70.061.42.164.16
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton0.750.071.262.094.09
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford0.640.051.42.084.08
Marcos RojoDefenderManchester United0.610.052.413.084.08
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace0.530.051.482.054.05
Daley BlindDefenderManchester United0.570.042.413.034.03
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford0.570.041.42.024.02
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton0.410.031.541.973.97
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford0.510.041.41.953.95
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.481.893.89
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton0.580.051.261.893.89
BrunoDefenderBrighton0.320.031.541.883.88
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderCrystal Palace0.370.031.481.883.88
Geoff CameronDefenderStoke0.520.051.31.873.87
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool0.860.081.892.833.83
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal0.720.071.031.823.82
Ryan ShawcrossDefenderStoke0.480.041.31.823.82
Kurt ZoumaDefenderStoke0.450.031.31.783.78
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford0.350.031.41.783.78
Alfie MawsonDefenderSwansea0.580.051.131.763.76
Kevin WimmerDefenderStoke0.360.031.31.693.69
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal0.570.051.031.653.65
Glen JohnsonDefenderStoke0.320.031.31.653.65
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal0.550.041.031.633.63
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal0.550.041.031.633.63
Ashley WilliamsDefenderEverton0.340.031.261.633.63
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool0.670.051.892.623.62
Erik PietersDefenderStoke0.280.021.31.613.61
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal0.50.041.031.583.58
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool0.630.051.892.573.57
Jose FonteDefenderWest Ham0.550.040.971.563.56
Winston ReidDefenderWest Ham0.50.050.971.533.53
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea0.450.032.042.523.52
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield0.510.040.981.523.52
Martin OlssonDefenderSwansea0.360.031.131.523.52
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham0.510.040.971.523.52
James MilnerDefenderLiverpool1.390.21.893.483.48
Toby AlderweireldDefenderSpurs0.540.040.91.483.48
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs0.530.040.91.473.47
Kyle NaughtonDefenderSwansea0.30.031.131.463.46
Federico FernandezDefenderSwansea0.30.021.131.453.45
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs0.50.030.91.443.44
Mathias Zanka JorgensenDefenderHuddersfield0.410.030.981.423.42
Joseph GomezDefenderLiverpool0.490.041.892.423.42
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham0.390.030.971.43.4
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield0.350.040.981.373.37
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham0.340.030.971.343.34
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace0.760.071.482.33.3
Tommy SmithDefenderHuddersfield0.30.020.981.33.3
Jonny EvansDefenderWest Brom0.410.040.81.253.25
Ahmed HegaziDefenderWest Brom0.40.030.81.233.23
Kieran GibbsDefenderWest Brom0.330.030.81.153.15
Chris SmallingDefenderManchester United0.620.052.413.093.09
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth0.30.021.732.063.06
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace0.470.041.481.992.99
Victor LindelofDefenderManchester United0.50.042.412.962.96
Axel TuanzebeDefenderManchester United0.510.042.412.962.96
Luke ShawDefenderManchester United0.490.042.412.942.94
Matteo DarmianDefenderManchester United0.490.042.412.942.94
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle0.40.030.50.932.93
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton0.370.030.520.922.92
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace0.380.031.481.892.89
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester0.430.030.420.882.88
Kiko FemeniaDefenderWatford0.440.031.41.872.87
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle0.340.030.50.862.86
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester0.350.030.420.792.79
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle0.270.020.50.792.79
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton0.460.031.261.762.76
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton0.220.020.520.762.76
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle0.210.020.50.732.73
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester0.290.020.420.722.72
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle0.20.020.50.722.72
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea0.610.052.042.692.69
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea0.590.042.042.672.67
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester0.220.020.420.662.66
Jake Clarke-SalterDefenderChelsea0.550.062.042.642.64
Cuco MartinaDefenderEverton0.30.021.261.592.59
Danny RoseDefenderSpurs0.630.060.91.592.59
Rob HoldingDefenderArsenal0.490.041.031.562.56
Jon FlanaganDefenderLiverpool0.530.081.892.52.5
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs0.560.040.91.52.5
Davinson SanchezDefenderSpurs0.50.030.91.442.44
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs0.460.030.91.42.4
James CollinsDefenderWest Ham0.40.030.971.42.4
Arthur MasuakuDefenderWest Ham0.40.030.971.42.4
Gareth McAuleyDefenderWest Brom0.540.050.81.392.39
Ragnar KlavanDefenderLiverpool0.440.031.892.362.36
Tosin AdarabioyoDefenderMan City0.530.041.772.342.34
Eliaquim MangalaDefenderMan City0.520.041.772.332.33
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley0.40.061.832.32.3
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley0.430.031.832.292.29
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley0.410.031.832.272.27
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford0.750.081.42.232.23
Uwe HunemeierDefenderBrighton0.480.061.542.072.07
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford0.620.061.42.072.07
Allan NyomDefenderWest Brom0.210.020.81.032.03
Ales MatejuDefenderBrighton0.390.071.5422
Marvin ZeegelaarDefenderWatford0.50.091.41.991.99
Connor GoldsonDefenderBrighton0.410.031.541.981.98
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton0.410.031.541.971.97
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.410.030.520.961.96
Molla WagueDefenderWatford0.510.041.41.941.94
Liam RoseniorDefenderBrighton0.290.021.541.841.84
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.031.481.841.84
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton0.30.030.520.841.84
Gaetan BongDefenderBrighton0.270.021.541.831.83
Damien DelaneyDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.031.481.831.83
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton0.280.030.520.821.82
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace0.310.021.481.811.81
Josh TymonDefenderStoke0.410.031.31.751.75
Harry SoutarDefenderStoke0.390.041.31.731.73
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton0.380.031.261.671.67
Thomas EdwardsDefenderStoke0.310.021.31.641.64
Bruno Martins IndiDefenderStoke0.320.031.31.641.64
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton0.330.031.261.621.62
Per MertesackerDefenderArsenal0.520.041.031.591.59
Mike van der HoornDefenderSwansea0.410.031.131.571.57
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham0.560.040.971.571.57
Calum ChambersDefenderArsenal0.490.041.031.561.56
Leon BrittonDefenderSwansea0.350.031.131.511.51
Scott MaloneDefenderHuddersfield0.480.040.981.51.5
Angel RangelDefenderSwansea0.310.031.131.471.47
Michael HefeleDefenderHuddersfield0.450.030.981.461.46
Mathieu DebuchyDefenderArsenal0.40.031.031.461.46
Sam ByramDefenderWest Ham0.40.040.971.411.41
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs0.440.030.91.381.38
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs0.380.030.91.321.32
Martin CranieDefenderHuddersfield0.310.020.981.31.3
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield0.280.020.981.271.27
Sam McQueenDefenderSouthampton0.590.070.521.171.17
Virgil van DijkDefenderSouthampton0.50.040.521.061.06
Jeremy PiedDefenderSouthampton0.440.090.521.041.04
Ben ChilwellDefenderLeicester0.540.050.4211
Matty JamesDefenderLeicester0.450.030.420.890.89
Josh KnightDefenderLeicester0.410.050.420.870.87
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton0.280.050.520.850.85
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton0.280.050.520.850.85
Daniel AmarteyDefenderLeicester0.380.030.420.830.83
Yohan BenalouaneDefenderLeicester0.360.050.420.830.83
Jamie SterryDefenderNewcastle0.290.030.50.820.82
Chancel MbembaDefenderNewcastle0.260.020.50.790.79
Massadio HaidaraDefenderNewcastle0.210.020.50.730.73
Aleksander DragovicDefenderLeicester0.270.020.420.710.71
Jesus GamezDefenderNewcastle0.180.020.50.70.7

Goalkeepers

Rather than going with the two most likely point scorers this week David de Gea (4.41) and Thibault Courtois (4.04) I’ve chosen to look further down the table to sides which normally aren’t expected to compete for league titles or silverware.

Nick Pope has been a fantastic replacement for what has to be the most called up player for England without a cap, Tom Heaton. While Pope hasn’t had healing powers to resurrect his injured team-mate, the backup stopper has shown he is more than a capable deputy. He is expected to get 3.83 points this game week.

For the second of our non-title-challenging keepers, we have none other than Simon Mignolet of Liverpool…. Yes, I support Manchester United… Yes, I will forever remember Demba Ba… Yes, I have never witnessed Liverpool win the league in my 26 years…. and yes, Liverpool fans do massively underrate Simon Mignolet. Mignolet is expected to get 3.89 points this game week, the third highest in the league.

Player NamePositionClubClean Sheet PointsSum ExpectedSum Starting Exp.
David de GeaGoalkeeperManchester United2.412.414.41
Thibault CourtoisGoalkeeperChelsea2.042.044.04
Simon MignoletGoalkeeperLiverpool1.891.893.89
Tom PopeGoalkeeperBurnley1.831.833.83
EdersonGoalkeeperMan City1.771.773.77
Asmir BegovicGoalkeeperBournemouth1.731.733.73
Mat RyanGoalkeeperBrighton1.541.543.54
Wayne HennesseyGoalkeeperCrystal Palace1.481.483.48
GomesGoalkeeperWatford1.41.43.4
Jack ButlandGoalkeeperStoke1.31.33.3
Jordan PickfordGoalkeeperEverton1.261.263.26
Lukasz FabianskiGoalkeeperSwansea1.131.133.13
Petr CechGoalkeeperArsenal1.031.033.03
Jonas LosslGoalkeeperHuddersfield0.980.982.98
Joe HartGoalkeeperWest Ham0.970.972.97
Hugo LlorisGoalkeeperSpurs0.90.92.9
Ben FosterGoalkeeperWest Brom0.80.82.8
Fraser ForsterGoalkeeperSouthampton0.520.522.52
Rob ElliotGoalkeeperNewcastle0.50.52.5
Kasper SchmeichelGoalkeeperLeicester0.420.422.42
Sergio RomeroGoalkeeperManchester United2.412.412.41
Joel PerreiraGoalkeeperManchester United2.412.412.41
Willy CaballeroGoalkeeperChelsea2.042.042.04
EduardoGoalkeeperChelsea2.042.042.04
Danny WardGoalkeeperLiverpool1.891.891.89
Loris KariusGoalkeeperLiverpool1.891.891.89
Adam BogdanGoalkeeperLiverpool1.891.891.89
Tom HeatonGoalkeeperBurnley1.831.831.83
Adam LegzdinsGoalkeeperBurnley1.831.831.83
Anders LindegaardGoalkeeperBurnley1.831.831.83
Claudio BravoGoalkeeperMan City1.771.771.77
Daniel GrimshawGoalkeeperMan City1.771.771.77
Artur BorucGoalkeeperBournemouth1.731.731.73
Aaron RamsdaleGoalkeeperBournemouth1.731.731.73
Tim KrulGoalkeeperBrighton1.541.541.54
Niki MaenpaaGoalkeeperBrighton1.541.541.54
Julian SperoniGoalkeeperCrystal Palace1.481.481.48
Orestis KarnezisGoalkeeperWatford1.41.41.4
Daniel BachmannGoalkeeperWatford1.41.41.4
Lee GrantGoalkeeperStoke1.31.31.3
Maarten StekelenburgGoalkeeperEverton1.261.261.26
Joel RoblesGoalkeeperEverton1.261.261.26
Erwin MulderGoalkeeperSwansea1.131.131.13
Kristoffer NordfeldtGoalkeeperSwansea1.131.131.13
David OspinaGoalkeeperArsenal1.031.031.03
Matt MaceyGoalkeeperArsenal1.031.031.03
Rob GreenGoalkeeperHuddersfield0.980.980.98
Joel ColemanGoalkeeperHuddersfield0.980.980.98
AdrianGoalkeeperWest Ham0.970.970.97
Nathan TrottGoalkeeperWest Ham0.970.970.97
Michel VormGoalkeeperSpurs0.90.90.9
Paulo GazzanigaGoalkeeperSpurs0.90.90.9
Boaz MyhillGoalkeeperWest Brom0.80.80.8
Alex PalmerGoalkeeperWest Brom0.80.80.8
Stuart TaylorGoalkeeperSouthampton0.520.520.52
Alex McCarthyGoalkeeperSouthampton0.520.520.52
Karl DarlowGoalkeeperNewcastle0.50.50.5
Freddie WoodmanGoalkeeperNewcastle0.50.50.5
Eldin JakupovicGoalkeeperLeicester0.420.420.42
Ben HamerGoalkeeperLeicester0.420.420.42
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