Gameweek 4: Expected Player Points #FPL

One comment

Another week, another wildcard being used pointlessly in the hope of team value being raised. Harry Kane may have dropped .1 million, and our Lokilo also dropped 0.1m, but overall prices rising has been more rare than a Brazilian winger signing for Watford. Which doesn’t happen too often.

The week welcomes some new signings, and players returning from injury, with Coutinho and Hazard, being overshadowed by Alexis Sanchez this week.

The top points players are as follows:

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Alexis SanchezMidfielderArsenal2.801.120.414.33
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal2.391.040.003.43
Olivier GiroudForwardArsenal2.330.930.003.26
Sam McQueenDefenderSouthampton1.240.171.833.24
Theo WalcottMidfielderArsenal2.090.570.413.07
Romelu LukakuForwardManchester United2.170.880.003.06
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.210.191.582.99
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City2.090.770.002.86
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City2.070.770.002.84
Danny WelbeckForwardArsenal2.040.730.002.77
Jeremy PiedDefenderSouthampton0.840.091.832.76
Anthony MartialMidfielderManchester United1.800.450.502.75
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea1.860.490.402.75
Harry KaneForwardSpurs1.980.760.002.74
Virgil van DijkDefenderSouthampton0.860.001.832.69
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton1.720.460.462.65
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea1.940.700.002.64
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.740.450.422.62
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderManchester United1.710.410.502.62
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.740.450.412.60
Dusan TadicMidfielderSouthampton1.700.410.462.57
Antonio ValenciaDefenderManchester United0.530.042.002.57
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.670.061.832.56
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs1.730.440.372.54
Chris SmallingDefenderManchester United0.490.042.002.53

09 Sep 2017

12:30 Manchester City – Liverpool

Two of the best attacking teams in the league face off  in the first game back from the International break. Firmino and Mane both delivered the goods for their countries and owners will be hoping they continue that run of form against a poor Manchester City defense.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Sergio AgueroForwardMan City2.090.770.002.86
Gabriel JesusForwardMan City2.070.770.002.84
Raheem SterlingMidfielderMan City1.720.430.302.45
Sadio ManeMidfielderLiverpool1.750.440.162.35
Bernardo SilvaMidfielderMan City1.600.370.302.27
Kevin De BruyneMidfielderMan City1.590.370.302.26
Mohamed SalahMidfielderLiverpool1.670.400.162.23
Leroy SaneMidfielderMan City1.560.320.302.17
Tosin AdarabioyoDefenderMan City0.690.081.191.95
Nicolas OtamendiDefenderMan City0.620.051.191.85
James MilnerDefenderLiverpool1.070.130.631.84
David SilvaMidfielderMan City1.300.240.301.83
Vincent KompanyDefenderMan City0.600.041.191.83
DaniloDefenderMan City0.580.041.191.81
John StonesDefenderMan City0.560.041.191.79
Brahim DiazMidfielderMan City1.290.200.301.78
Benjamin MendyDefenderMan City0.510.031.191.73
Kyle WalkerDefenderMan City0.500.041.191.72
Eliaquim MangalaDefenderMan City0.490.031.191.71
Daniel SturridgeForwardLiverpool1.380.330.001.71
Roberto FirminoForwardLiverpool1.370.330.001.71
Ilkay GundoganMidfielderMan City1.210.190.301.70
Yaya ToureMidfielderMan City1.160.160.301.62
Phil FodenMidfielderMan City1.130.190.301.61
Philippe CoutinhoMidfielderLiverpool1.240.200.161.60
Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefenderLiverpool0.740.060.631.44
Ben WoodburnMidfielderLiverpool1.100.150.161.40
Dominic SolankeForwardLiverpool1.160.230.001.39
Ovie EjariaMidfielderLiverpool1.030.180.161.37
Jordan WilliamsDefenderLiverpool0.650.060.631.35
Fabian DelphMidfielderMan City0.810.090.301.20
Marko GrujicMidfielderLiverpool0.920.130.161.20
Andrew RobertsonDefenderLiverpool0.510.040.631.18
Alberto MorenoDefenderLiverpool0.490.040.631.16
FernandinhoMidfielderMan City0.750.080.301.13
Dejan LovrenDefenderLiverpool0.380.030.631.04
Emre CanMidfielderLiverpool0.770.100.161.02
Joel MatipDefenderLiverpool0.360.030.631.02
Jon FlanaganDefenderLiverpool0.340.050.631.02
Georginio WijnaldumMidfielderLiverpool0.770.080.161.00
Nathaniel ClyneDefenderLiverpool0.330.020.630.98
Ragnar KlavanDefenderLiverpool0.280.020.630.93
Joseph GomezDefenderLiverpool0.270.020.630.93
Jordan HendersonMidfielderLiverpool0.620.060.160.84

Gabriel Jesus could well be rested for this game considering he played in both fixtures, while Aguero played a grand total of 0 minutes for Argentina, meaning he could be fresher for the league fixture.

15:00 Arsenal – Bournemouth

Arsenal come up against a Bournemouth side which look deplorably poor, but that has become the norm for Eddie Howe sides, where they somehow end up mid table even though they have a relegation fodder quality side. The highly rated English manager has been somehow keeping up Bournemouth with Joshua King and Benik Afobe playing up top, while newcomer Jermaine Defoe is struggling for minutes in the side.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Alexis SanchezMidfielderArsenal2.801.120.414.33
Alexandre LacazetteForwardArsenal2.391.040.003.43
Olivier GiroudForwardArsenal2.330.930.003.26
Theo WalcottMidfielderArsenal2.090.570.413.07
Danny WelbeckForwardArsenal2.040.730.002.77
Mesut OzilMidfielderArsenal1.740.450.412.60
Laurent KoscielnyDefenderArsenal0.810.081.632.53
Shkodran MustafiDefenderArsenal0.800.071.632.51
Sead KolasinacDefenderArsenal0.760.071.632.46
Alex IwobiMidfielderArsenal1.680.370.412.46
Aaron RamseyMidfielderArsenal1.610.360.412.37
Hector BellerinDefenderArsenal0.640.051.632.32
Rob HoldingDefenderArsenal0.620.051.632.30
Per MertesackerDefenderArsenal0.610.041.632.28
Nacho MonrealDefenderArsenal0.550.041.632.22
Calum ChambersDefenderArsenal0.540.041.632.21
Kieran GibbsDefenderArsenal0.450.041.632.11
Jack WilshereMidfielderArsenal1.220.000.411.63
Granit XhakaMidfielderArsenal1.000.140.411.55
Jermain DefoeForwardBournemouth1.240.260.001.51
Alex Oxlade-ChamberlainMidfielderArsenal0.940.130.411.48
Joshua KingForwardBournemouth1.170.250.001.42
Mohamed ElnenyMidfielderArsenal0.820.090.411.32
Benik AfobeForwardBournemouth1.080.210.001.29
Junior StanislasMidfielderBournemouth1.020.150.101.27
Charlie DanielsDefenderBournemouth0.720.060.401.18
Lys MoussetForwardBournemouth0.980.160.001.14
Marc PughMidfielderBournemouth0.900.120.101.11
Francis CoquelinMidfielderArsenal0.560.050.411.02
Nathan AkeDefenderBournemouth0.560.040.401.00
Harry ArterMidfielderBournemouth0.770.090.100.96
Adam SmithDefenderBournemouth0.520.040.400.96
Steve CookDefenderBournemouth0.510.040.400.95
Emerson HyndmanMidfielderBournemouth0.760.100.100.95
Jordon IbeMidfielderBournemouth0.750.080.100.93
Ryan FraserMidfielderBournemouth0.740.080.100.92
Jack SimpsonDefenderBournemouth0.380.050.400.83
Brad SmithDefenderBournemouth0.330.030.400.75
Dan GoslingMidfielderBournemouth0.550.050.100.70
Tyrone MingsDefenderBournemouth0.270.020.400.69
Connor MahoneyMidfielderBournemouth0.500.060.100.66
Simon FrancisDefenderBournemouth0.230.020.400.65
Lewis CookMidfielderBournemouth0.450.040.100.59
Andrew SurmanMidfielderBournemouth0.450.030.100.58

Arsenal only have a 41% chance of keeping a clean sheet.  Alexis Sanchez could prove to be a huge differential this week with just 2.5% ownership whilst bring the player this week expected to return the most points. Fantasy Football managers should keep a close eye on this game to see how Alexis plays. With rumours the Chilean is off in January, or the closest possible time, it’s still unknown how well he will perform. Alexis has been known to stay on fire regardless of rumours surrounding him. So much, so that a shit emo band was even named after him. Anal cunt.

15:00 Brighton – West Brom

Brighton host West Brom in a battle of the defences. A surprising price raise for Hegazi (4.9M) given that he is now a rotation risk. New owners will be hoping he delivers the goods against a poorly attacking Brighton team. Brighton failed to sign a decent striker during the transfer window, with their owner even attempting to sign Vincent Janssen as a replacement for his current options. Which may show how highly rated Tomer Hemed and Glenn Murray are at Seagulls.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Lewis DunkDefenderBrighton0.610.051.572.23
Shane DuffyDefenderBrighton0.540.041.572.15
Ezequiel SchelottoDefenderBrighton0.480.031.572.08
Connor GoldsonDefenderBrighton0.420.041.572.03
Uwe HunemeierDefenderBrighton0.430.031.572.03
Gareth McAuleyDefenderWest Brom0.570.041.402.01
Markus SuttnerDefenderBrighton0.370.031.571.96
Anthony KnockaertMidfielderBrighton1.310.260.391.96
Craig DawsonDefenderWest Brom0.500.041.401.93
Ahmed HegaziDefenderWest Brom0.490.031.401.91
Saltor BrunoDefenderBrighton0.310.021.571.90
BrunoDefenderBrighton0.310.021.571.90
Ales MatejuDefenderBrighton0.310.021.571.90
Gaetan BongDefenderBrighton0.290.031.571.88
Liam RoseniorDefenderBrighton0.270.021.571.86
Jose IzquierdoMidfielderBrighton1.220.190.391.80
Jonny EvansDefenderWest Brom0.370.031.401.79
Nacer ChadliMidfielderWest Brom1.140.190.351.69
Jamie MurphyMidfielderBrighton1.090.190.391.68
NyomDefenderWest Brom0.220.021.401.64
Glenn MurrayForwardBrighton1.310.310.001.63
Soufyan AhannachMidfielderBrighton1.020.180.391.59
Jay RodriguezForwardWest Brom1.250.300.001.55
Salomon RondonForwardWest Brom1.250.290.001.54
Tomer HemedForwardBrighton1.240.290.001.53
Davy PropperMidfielderBrighton0.990.150.391.53
Jayson MolumbyMidfielderBrighton0.930.150.391.47
Oliver BurkeMidfielderWest Brom0.960.120.351.43
Jiri SkalakMidfielderBrighton0.910.110.391.41
Kane WilsonDefenderWest Brom0.001.401.40
Matt PhillipsMidfielderWest Brom0.920.120.351.40
Pascal GrossMidfielderBrighton0.880.120.391.39
Solly MarchMidfielderBrighton0.870.110.391.37
James McCleanMidfielderWest Brom0.840.110.351.30
James TilleyForwardBrighton1.070.220.001.29
Aaron ConnollyForwardBrighton1.060.220.001.28
James MorrisonMidfielderWest Brom0.750.080.351.18
Dale StephensMidfielderBrighton0.630.060.391.08
Chris BruntMidfielderWest Brom0.660.060.351.07
Grzegorz KrychowiakMidfielderWest Brom0.490.040.350.88
Sam FieldMidfielderWest Brom0.480.040.350.87
Jake LivermoreMidfielderWest Brom0.470.040.350.86
Gareth BarryMidfielderWest Brom0.430.030.350.81
Claudio YacobMidfielderWest Brom0.290.020.350.67

Lewis Dunk and Shane Duffy are the 2 most likely point scorers in the fixture, which speaks volumes about the quality expected here.

15:00 Everton – Tottenham

Spurs come up against an Everton side which have struggled against quality. A tough run of fixtures at the start of the season for Everton left them struggling to gain momentum. This fixture tends to have Both Teams To Score. Eriksen had a great intentional break being involved in 4 goals, scoring 2 and assisting 2.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Harry KaneForwardSpurs1.980.760.002.74
Dele AlliMidfielderSpurs1.730.440.372.54
Son Heung-MinMidfielderSpurs1.520.320.372.21
Toby AlderweireldDefenderSpurs0.500.041.482.02
Davinson SanchezDefenderSpurs0.460.031.481.97
Gylfi SigurdssonMidfielderEverton1.400.310.251.96
Serge AurierDefenderSpurs0.450.031.481.96
Juan FoythDefenderSpurs0.400.051.481.94
Jan VertonghenDefenderSpurs0.410.031.481.92
Ben DaviesDefenderSpurs0.380.031.481.89
Kieran TrippierDefenderSpurs0.360.031.481.87
Vincent JanssenForwardSpurs1.460.380.001.84
Leighton BainesDefenderEverton0.740.070.991.81
Kyle Walker-PetersDefenderSpurs0.300.021.481.81
Kevin WimmerDefenderSpurs0.300.031.481.80
Christian EriksenMidfielderSpurs1.220.200.371.80
Michael KeaneDefenderEverton0.600.050.991.64
Wayne RooneyForwardEverton1.290.320.001.60
Kevin MirallasMidfielderEverton1.140.190.251.57
Sandro RamirezForwardEverton1.260.290.001.55
Davy KlaassenMidfielderEverton1.120.180.251.54
Ademola LookmanMidfielderEverton1.100.190.251.54
Cameron Carter-VickersDefenderSpurs0.001.481.48
Phil JagielkaDefenderEverton0.410.030.991.44
Dominic Calvert-LewinForwardEverton1.160.260.001.42
Mason HolgateDefenderEverton0.380.030.991.40
Nikola VlasicMidfielderEverton0.990.140.251.38
Ashley WilliamsDefenderEverton0.350.030.991.37
Jonjoe KennyDefenderEverton0.330.030.991.35
Moussa SissokoMidfielderSpurs0.860.110.371.35
Cuco MartinaDefenderEverton0.310.030.991.33
KenedyMidfielderEverton0.900.100.251.25
Aaron LennonMidfielderEverton0.830.100.251.18
Tashan Oakley-BootheMidfielderSpurs0.600.070.371.04
Harry WinksMidfielderSpurs0.600.050.371.02
Mousa DembeleMidfielderSpurs0.600.040.371.01
Victor WanyamaMidfielderSpurs0.540.050.370.96
Eric DierMidfielderSpurs0.540.040.370.95
Tom DaviesMidfielderEverton0.640.060.250.94
Morgan SchneiderlinMidfielderEverton0.500.050.250.80
James McCarthyMidfielderEverton0.460.030.250.75
Muhamed BesicMidfielderEverton0.450.040.250.74
Idrissa GueyeMidfielderEverton0.410.030.250.69

Ronald Koeman’s press conference has confirmed that Wayne Rooney will be starting against Tottenham. The last time Wayne was in the papers for bad publicity it was due to getting knocked out by Phil Bardsley and he celebrated by falling over.

Could we see Wayne mimicking a few drinks if he scores?

15:00 Leicester – Chelsea

Leicester host the champions, Chelsea. Morata is on a brilliant run of form these season delivering goals and assists in the Premier League and also on International Duty. It’s no surprise he’s the most likely player to score in this fixture.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Marcos AlonsoDefenderChelsea1.210.191.582.99
Eden HazardMidfielderChelsea1.860.490.402.75
Alvaro MorataForwardChelsea1.940.700.002.64
Victor MosesDefenderChelsea0.770.071.582.42
David LuizDefenderChelsea0.710.071.582.36
PedroMidfielderChelsea1.540.340.402.27
Andreas ChristensenDefenderChelsea0.530.041.582.15
WillianMidfielderChelsea1.450.300.402.14
Davide ZappacostaDefenderChelsea0.520.041.582.14
Michy BatshuayiForwardChelsea1.650.480.002.13
Antonio RudigerDefenderChelsea0.460.031.582.07
Cesar AzpilicuetaDefenderChelsea0.340.031.581.95
Charly MusondaMidfielderChelsea1.240.230.401.86
Jamie VardyForwardLeicester1.370.350.001.73
Ahmed MusaMidfielderLeicester1.250.260.211.72
Cesc FabregasMidfielderChelsea1.070.170.401.64
Fikayo TomoriDefenderChelsea0.000.001.581.58
Riyad MahrezMidfielderLeicester1.130.190.211.53
Kelechi IheanachoForwardLeicester1.180.260.001.45
Josh KnightDefenderLeicester0.520.060.831.41
Harry MaguireDefenderLeicester0.510.040.831.38
Robert HuthDefenderLeicester0.510.040.831.37
Matty JamesDefenderLeicester0.480.030.831.34
Shinji OkazakiForwardLeicester1.090.220.001.31
Kyle ScottMidfielderChelsea0.800.120.401.31
Christian FuchsDefenderLeicester0.440.030.831.30
Islam SlimaniForwardLeicester1.060.200.001.26
Daniel AmarteyDefenderLeicester0.370.030.831.22
Ben ChilwellDefenderLeicester0.330.030.831.19
Yohan BenalouaneDefenderLeicester0.310.040.831.19
Wes MorganDefenderLeicester0.320.030.831.18
Leonardo UlloaForwardLeicester1.000.170.001.17
Demarai GrayMidfielderLeicester0.830.110.211.14
Tiemoue BakayokoMidfielderChelsea0.650.070.401.12
Aleksander DragovicDefenderLeicester0.260.020.831.10
Daniel DrinkwaterMidfielderLeicester0.780.090.211.08
Danny SimpsonDefenderLeicester0.200.020.831.05
Vicente IborraMidfielderLeicester0.690.070.210.96
Marc AlbrightonMidfielderLeicester0.680.070.210.95
NGolo KanteMidfielderChelsea0.470.030.400.90
Andy KingMidfielderLeicester0.620.060.210.89
Wilfred NdidiMidfielderLeicester0.490.040.210.74

Despite Willian’s good performances in the Premier League this season, his returns have been poor from a FPL perspective. Owners will be frustrated to see that he scored on the international break, when he has failed to do so in the league this season. Eden Hazard returns, which means that his position has become even more precarious. Marcos Alonso and Eden Hazard are the two most likely to amass points this week.

15:00 Southampton – Watford

Marco Silva’s men travel to Mauricio Pellegrino’s Southampton side in what could be considered the new manager match of the weekend. Britos will be a big loss for the Watford defence, which have looked dodgy so far this season.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Sam McQueenDefenderSouthampton1.240.171.833.24
Jeremy PiedDefenderSouthampton0.840.091.832.76
Virgil van DijkDefenderSouthampton0.860.001.832.69
Nathan RedmondMidfielderSouthampton1.720.460.462.65
Dusan TadicMidfielderSouthampton1.700.410.462.57
Maya YoshidaDefenderSouthampton0.670.061.832.56
Ryan BertrandDefenderSouthampton0.630.041.832.51
Charlie AustinForwardSouthampton1.820.610.002.43
Wesley HoedtDefenderSouthampton0.560.041.832.43
Manolo GabbiadiniForwardSouthampton1.790.600.002.39
Matt TargettDefenderSouthampton0.480.061.832.38
Cedric SoaresDefenderSouthampton0.480.031.832.35
Jack StephensDefenderSouthampton0.470.041.832.34
Jan BednarekDefenderSouthampton0.440.031.832.30
Florin GardosDefenderSouthampton0.430.001.832.26
Sofiane BoufalMidfielderSouthampton1.490.290.462.24
Shane LongForwardSouthampton1.630.480.002.11
James Ward-ProwseMidfielderSouthampton1.330.260.462.05
Josh SimsMidfielderSouthampton1.260.250.461.96
de Andrade RicharlisonMidfielderWatford1.190.220.191.60
Steven DavisMidfielderSouthampton0.990.130.461.58
Mario LeminaMidfielderSouthampton0.860.100.461.41
Isaac SuccessMidfielderWatford1.000.210.191.40
Pierre-Emile HojbjergMidfielderSouthampton0.830.100.461.39
Andre GrayForwardWatford1.100.230.001.33
Jose HolebasDefenderWatford0.490.040.771.31
Troy DeeneyForwardWatford1.080.210.001.29
Christian KabaseleDefenderWatford0.460.040.771.27
Daryl JanmaatDefenderWatford0.450.040.771.26
Sebastian ProdlDefenderWatford0.400.030.771.20
Younes KaboulDefenderWatford0.400.030.771.20
Oriol RomeuMidfielderSouthampton0.670.080.461.20
Stefano OkakaForwardWatford0.990.180.001.17
Kiko FemeniaDefenderWatford0.380.030.771.17
Molla WagueDefenderWatford0.360.030.771.16
Marvin ZeegelaarDefenderWatford0.360.030.771.16
Miguel BritosDefenderWatford0.330.040.771.14
Craig CathcartDefenderWatford0.310.040.771.11
Etienne CapoueMidfielderWatford0.810.110.191.11
Roberto PereyraMidfielderWatford0.800.110.191.10
Adrian MariappaDefenderWatford0.240.020.771.03
Brice Dja DjedjeDefenderWatford0.240.000.771.01
Jerome SinclairForwardWatford0.820.150.000.96
Abdoulaye DoucoureMidfielderWatford0.630.060.190.89
Tom CleverleyMidfielderWatford0.570.050.190.81
Steve SidwellMidfielderWatford0.540.050.190.78
Brandon MasonDefenderWatford0.000.000.770.77
Will HughesMidfielderWatford0.510.040.190.74
Nathaniel ChalobahMidfielderWatford0.490.040.190.73
Ben WatsonMidfielderWatford0.410.030.190.64
Jordy ClasieMidfielderSouthampton0.000.000.460.46
Nordin AmrabatMidfielderWatford0.000.000.190.19
Rohan InceMidfielderWatford0.000.000.190.19

Southampton have failed to score in 3 of their games this season(including the cup game against Wolves). Many will see this as Gabbiadini’s last chance in their Fantasy Team, and with the most likely scorers being defenders in this match, it looks to be a dull one.

17:30 Stoke City – Manchester United

Mark Hughes’ men come up against rampant Manchester United in the 4th game week of the season. Pogba and Co will be looking to maintain their 100% record this season.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Romelu LukakuForwardManchester United2.170.880.003.06
Anthony MartialMidfielderManchester United1.800.450.502.75
Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielderManchester United1.710.410.502.62
Antonio ValenciaDefenderManchester United0.530.042.002.57
Chris SmallingDefenderManchester United0.490.042.002.53
Daley BlindDefenderManchester United0.450.032.002.49
Axel TuanzebeDefenderManchester United0.420.062.002.48
Phil JonesDefenderManchester United0.390.032.002.42
Eric BaillyDefenderManchester United0.380.032.002.41
Victor LindelofDefenderManchester United0.360.032.002.38
Matteo DarmianDefenderManchester United0.320.022.002.34
Luke ShawDefenderManchester United0.330.002.002.33
Paul PogbaMidfielderManchester United1.480.310.502.29
Jesse LingardMidfielderManchester United1.420.270.502.20
Juan MataMidfielderManchester United1.410.270.502.19
Marcus RashfordForwardManchester United1.550.430.001.98
Marouane FellainiMidfielderManchester United1.170.190.501.85
Rodriguez JeseMidfielderStoke1.130.180.171.48
Ander HerreraMidfielderManchester United0.760.080.501.34
Ashley YoungMidfielderManchester United0.820.000.501.32
Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielderStoke0.960.140.171.27
Julien NgoyMidfielderStoke0.920.130.171.23
Nemanja MaticMidfielderManchester United0.590.050.501.14
Ryan ShawcrossDefenderStoke0.390.030.691.11
Geoff CameronDefenderStoke0.390.030.691.11
Kurt ZoumaDefenderStoke0.380.030.691.11
Saido BerahinoForwardStoke0.940.150.001.09
Peter CrouchForwardStoke0.930.150.001.08
Thibaud VerlindenMidfielderStoke0.780.120.171.07
Thomas EdwardsDefenderStoke0.310.030.691.03
Harry SoutarDefenderStoke0.290.030.691.01
Josh TymonDefenderStoke0.280.020.691.00
Bruno Martins IndiDefenderStoke0.280.020.690.99
Glen JohnsonDefenderStoke0.270.020.690.99
Joe AllenMidfielderStoke0.720.080.170.97
Michael CarrickMidfielderManchester United0.430.030.500.96
Ramadan SobhiMidfielderStoke0.720.070.170.96
Erik PietersDefenderStoke0.240.020.690.95
Charlie AdamMidfielderStoke0.600.060.170.83
Mame Biram DioufForwardStoke0.670.080.000.75
Ibrahim AfellayMidfielderStoke0.500.000.170.67
Darren FletcherMidfielderStoke0.440.030.170.65

Romelu Lukaku is the most likely points scorer this week, with his likelihood of scoring, and potentially scoring twice being the main factors. Antonio Valencia and Henrikh Mkhitaryan also rank highly in the expected points rankings. Mame Biram Diouf is listed as a striker in game, but has been converted into a wing back by Hughes, perhaps the worst OOP player in the game.

10 Sep 2017

13:30 Burnley – Crystal Palace

Nothing says Super Sunday like Burnley at home to Palace. Burnley are notoriously defensive at home, and come up against a Frank de Boer side which have seemingly forgotten all of the defensive duties which were drilled into them by ex-Manager Sam Allardyce.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Patrick van AanholtDefenderCrystal Palace0.880.111.412.41
Jonathan WaltersMidfielderBurnley1.560.350.402.31
James TarkowskiDefenderBurnley0.540.041.592.17
Jeffrey SchluppDefenderCrystal Palace0.650.061.412.12
Stephen WardDefenderBurnley0.450.031.592.07
Kevin LongDefenderBurnley0.430.031.592.05
Phil BardsleyDefenderBurnley0.410.031.592.03
Ben MeeDefenderBurnley0.410.031.592.03
Sam VokesForwardBurnley1.540.460.002.00
Chris WoodForwardBurnley1.540.440.001.98
Scott DannDefenderCrystal Palace0.530.041.411.98
Jon FlanaganDefenderBurnley0.340.051.591.97
Charlie TaylorDefenderBurnley0.330.031.591.94
Matthew LowtonDefenderBurnley0.320.021.591.93
James TomkinsDefenderCrystal Palace0.430.041.411.88
Christian BentekeForwardCrystal Palace1.430.380.001.81
Mamadou SakhoDefenderCrystal Palace0.370.031.411.81
Timothy Fosu-MensahDefenderCrystal Palace0.350.031.411.79
Jairo RiedewaldDefenderCrystal Palace0.320.031.411.76
Jason LokiloMidfielderCrystal Palace1.200.210.351.76
Damien DelaneyDefenderCrystal Palace0.300.051.411.76
Robbie BradyMidfielderBurnley1.150.210.401.76
Joel WardDefenderCrystal Palace0.320.031.411.76
Pape SouareDefenderCrystal Palace0.330.001.411.75
Martin KellyDefenderCrystal Palace0.310.031.411.75
Wayne RoutledgeMidfielderCrystal Palace1.170.190.351.72
Bakary SakoMidfielderCrystal Palace1.140.210.351.70
Sullay KaikaiMidfielderCrystal Palace1.150.190.351.69
Ashley BarnesForwardBurnley1.310.320.001.63
Andros TownsendMidfielderCrystal Palace1.060.180.351.59
Jeff HendrickMidfielderBurnley1.000.160.401.56
Johann Berg GudmundssonMidfielderBurnley1.010.140.401.55
Nahki WellsForwardBurnley1.250.270.001.51
Yohan CabayeMidfielderCrystal Palace0.960.130.351.44
Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielderCrystal Palace0.950.140.351.44
Scott ArfieldMidfielderBurnley0.910.120.401.42
Aaron Wan-BissakaDefenderCrystal Palace0.000.001.411.41
Steven DefourMidfielderBurnley0.760.080.401.24
Freddie LadapoForwardCrystal Palace0.950.210.001.17
Luka MilivojevicMidfielderCrystal Palace0.700.080.351.13
James McArthurMidfielderCrystal Palace0.660.070.351.09
Lee Chung-yongMidfielderCrystal Palace0.670.060.351.08
Jason PuncheonMidfielderCrystal Palace0.620.050.351.03
Jack CorkMidfielderBurnley0.550.050.401.00
Ashley WestwoodMidfielderBurnley0.490.040.400.92

Patrick van Aanholt and Jonathan Walters are two of the most likely points scorers this week, with both players playing out of position and higher up the field than expected.

16:00 Swansea – Newcastle Utd

Swansea are set to host a Newcastle side which have yet to win in the Premier League. Swansea re-signed Wilfred Bony who was a superb Fantasy Football asset previously at the club, but has floundered since he has left, struggling to hold down a position at Stoke and City.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Alfie MawsonDefenderSwansea0.780.081.412.27
Fernando LlorenteForwardSwansea1.620.480.002.11
Mike van der HoornDefenderSwansea0.600.061.412.07
Tammy AbrahamForwardSwansea1.580.460.002.04
Martin OlssonDefenderSwansea0.580.041.412.03
Leon BrittonDefenderSwansea0.480.041.411.93
Angel RangelDefenderSwansea0.470.041.411.92
Wilfried BonyForwardSwansea1.500.400.001.90
Dwight GayleForwardNewcastle1.480.410.001.88
Federico FernandezDefenderSwansea0.430.031.411.87
Kyle NaughtonDefenderSwansea0.420.031.411.86
Achraf LazaarDefenderNewcastle0.600.081.151.83
Leroy FerMidfielderSwansea1.210.220.351.78
Courtney Baker-RichardsonForwardSwansea1.400.360.001.76
Grant HanleyDefenderNewcastle0.500.061.151.71
Jamie SterryDefenderNewcastle0.480.071.151.70
Ciaran ClarkDefenderNewcastle0.500.041.151.69
Jamaal LascellesDefenderNewcastle0.500.041.151.69
Matt RitchieMidfielderNewcastle1.180.200.291.67
Daryl MurphyMidfielderNewcastle1.180.190.291.66
Mato JoseluForwardNewcastle1.320.330.001.65
Jefferson MonteroMidfielderSwansea1.050.240.351.64
DeAndre YedlinDefenderNewcastle0.390.031.151.58
Jordan AyewForwardSwansea1.270.290.001.56
Florian LejeuneDefenderNewcastle0.370.031.151.55
Paul DummettDefenderNewcastle0.350.041.151.54
Massadio HaidaraDefenderNewcastle0.340.041.151.54
Chancel MbembaDefenderNewcastle0.350.031.151.53
Mesa RoqueMidfielderSwansea1.020.150.351.52
Luciano NarsinghMidfielderSwansea1.000.150.351.50
Javier ManquilloDefenderNewcastle0.280.021.151.45
Christian AtsuMidfielderNewcastle1.000.140.291.43
Jesus GamezDefenderNewcastle0.250.021.151.42
Kyle BartleyDefenderSwansea0.000.001.411.41
Stephen KingsleyDefenderSwansea0.000.001.411.41
Sam ClucasMidfielderSwansea0.930.110.351.39
Daniel BarlaserMidfielderNewcastle0.940.160.291.39
Rolando AaronsMidfielderNewcastle0.870.120.291.28
Mohamed DiameMidfielderNewcastle0.860.110.291.25
Andre CarrilloMidfielderSwansea0.780.090.351.22
Ayoze PerezForwardNewcastle1.020.190.001.21
Adam KingMidfielderSwansea0.740.100.351.19
Henri SaivetMidfielderNewcastle0.800.090.291.18
Jonjo ShelveyMidfielderNewcastle0.790.090.291.16
Renato SanchesMidfielderSwansea0.710.060.351.12
Tom CarrollMidfielderSwansea0.670.070.351.10
Jay FultonMidfielderSwansea0.570.050.350.98
Mikel MerinoMidfielderNewcastle0.610.050.290.95
Isaac HaydenMidfielderNewcastle0.450.030.290.77
Jack ColbackMidfielderNewcastle0.480.000.290.76

Alfie Mawson and Tammy Abraham are two of the most likely scorers, while benched Dwight Gayle is the most likely scorer for Newcastle.

11 Sep 2017

20:00 West Ham – Huddersfield

The final fixture of the weekend includes two sides with favouring fortunes so far this season. One side can’t stop conceding, while the other can stop conceding. Surprisingly Huddersfield have kept 3 clean sheets from 3, while West Ham have conceded the most amount of goals in the league with 10 goals against.

Player NamePositionClubAnytime ExpectedTwo or More ExpectedClean Sheet PointsSum Expected
Michail AntonioMidfielderWest Ham1.740.450.422.62
Declan RiceDefenderWest Ham0.720.061.692.47
Toni MartinezMidfielderWest Ham1.570.480.422.47
Javier HernandezForwardWest Ham1.830.610.002.44
Aaron CresswellDefenderWest Ham0.670.061.692.42
Andre AyewMidfielderWest Ham1.610.360.422.40
Manuel LanziniMidfielderWest Ham1.580.350.422.35
Winston ReidDefenderWest Ham0.540.041.692.27
James CollinsDefenderWest Ham0.490.041.692.22
Jose FonteDefenderWest Ham0.480.041.692.21
Sam ByramDefenderWest Ham0.470.031.692.19
Andy CarrollForwardWest Ham1.640.500.002.14
Pablo ZabaletaDefenderWest Ham0.420.031.692.13
Domingos QuinaMidfielderWest Ham1.380.290.422.09
Arthur MasuakuDefenderWest Ham0.360.031.692.07
Sead HaksabanovicMidfielderWest Ham1.310.290.422.03
Angelo OgbonnaDefenderWest Ham0.320.031.692.03
Diafra SakhoForwardWest Ham1.560.450.002.00
Tom InceMidfielderHuddersfield1.220.210.231.66
Mark NobleMidfielderWest Ham0.970.120.421.51
Cheikhou KouyateMidfielderWest Ham0.950.140.421.51
Nathan HollandMidfielderWest Ham0.930.150.421.50
Elias KachungaMidfielderHuddersfield1.100.170.231.50
Abdelhamid SabiriMidfielderHuddersfield1.100.170.231.49
Steve MounieForwardHuddersfield1.220.270.001.49
Edimilson FernandesMidfielderWest Ham0.880.110.421.41
Michael HefeleDefenderHuddersfield0.440.030.901.37
Scott MaloneDefenderHuddersfield0.430.030.901.36
Chris LoweDefenderHuddersfield0.400.030.901.33
Moses MakasiMidfielderWest Ham0.780.100.421.30
Laurent DepoitreForwardHuddersfield1.080.220.001.29
Mathias Zanka JorgensenDefenderHuddersfield0.360.030.901.28
Tommy SmithDefenderHuddersfield0.340.030.901.27
Christopher SchindlerDefenderHuddersfield0.320.030.901.25
Joe LolleyMidfielderHuddersfield0.890.110.231.22
Florent HadergjonajDefenderHuddersfield0.280.030.901.21
Kasey PalmerMidfielderHuddersfield0.860.110.231.20
Collin QuanerForwardHuddersfield0.960.160.001.12
Rajiv van La ParraMidfielderHuddersfield0.790.080.231.10
Aaron MooyMidfielderHuddersfield0.770.080.231.08
Pedro ObiangMidfielderWest Ham0.450.030.420.90
Mathias JorgensenDefenderHuddersfield0.000.000.900.90
Philip BillingMidfielderHuddersfield0.550.050.230.82
Regan BootyMidfielderHuddersfield0.560.000.230.78
Dean WhiteheadMidfielderHuddersfield0.430.040.230.70
Jonathan HoggMidfielderHuddersfield0.320.020.230.57

From an outsider’s perspective it looks like the two sides couldn’t be further from matching one another, with the dildo brother’s side looking likely for the drop if current form continues. Michail Antonio and Declan Rice are the most likely point scorers, with the young Irish player being OOP playing in midfield. Antonio is a quality player who has goals in him, and could be a good differential this season.

 

Advertisements
Share the post!
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  

1 comments on “Gameweek 4: Expected Player Points #FPL”

Leave a Reply