Gameweek 1: Odds On – In Review

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We’ve cleaned up on some odds on shots this week, with the team amassing a total of 79 points. With that being said only 2 of our players got into the team of the week, with Romelu Lukaku getting a solid 13 points, and Mkhitaryan getting 11 points with 2 assists.

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Overall we rank 324,587th in the world out of 4,168,399 teams, which leaves us in the top 8% of teams in the world. 163,736 players played their triple captain, and 85,050 played their bench boost, while we played neither, surely giving us a better probability of finishing above them long term.

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We made some big decisions this week based the bookies predictions, most notably choosing Sergio Aguero (11.5m – 9 points) over Harry Kane (12.5m – 1 point). While some decisions like Marcos Alonso (7m) didn’t work out, we’re going to analyse this weeks results and see where the bookies got it right, and where they got it wrong.

Starting XI:

Wayne Hennessey – 4.5m – 2 points

Wayne conceded 3 goals against newcomers Huddersfield, yet still managed to get 2 points due to the number of saves he made. While they conceded 3, how many of the goals would you say were Hennessey’s fault? The first goal was an own goal by Ward after a front post corner wasn’t cleared by the defender. The second was a bullet header from Steve Mounier, with little attempt by new signing Jaïro Riedewald to defend it, again, not Hennessey’s fault. The third goal was the second from Mounier, which beat the keeper at the front post, but Tomkins allowed the striker to have a shot inside the box, not many keepers would have stopped this.

That all being said, it does seem like Palace are in the hunt for a new keeper, and there was mumblings of Speroni starting this game instead of the Welsh stopper. So while a transfer this early isn’t suggested due to the amount of time gone into choosing a side and thinking long term, second choice Rob Elliot may have a higher likelihood of keeping a clean sheet next week. We’ll see closer to when the odds are available.

Eric Bailly – 6.0m – 5 points

While Bailly got the clean sheet, and did as expected, he received a silly card which hampered his bonus point potential. The Ivorian was outshone by his centre back partner Phil Jones, but apart from the yellow he did little wrong, and bullied Chicharito for most of the game. A solid performance, but cut out the silly fouls next week.

Vincent Kompany – 6.0 – 6 points

Bread and butter, pizza and hangovers, Vincent Kompany and clean sheets. All of these things are meant for one another, and when Vincent Kompany starts, City look a different side defensively. A major positive for this was that the Belgian managed to get through the 90 minutes without a knock, and without conceding. It wasn’t Kompany’s best game, and he perhaps has lost a yard of pace, but he still reads the game fantastically well, with match sharpness he’ll only get better.

Maya Yoshida – 5.0m – 6 points

Maya looked to be one of Southampton’s best attacking outlets, but was just as wasteful as Gabbiadini in front of goal, squandering a late chance with a header, and narrowly missing from distance with a free kick, while we were counting on a clean sheet for Yoshida, it could have been so much better for the Japanese defender. A solid 6 points.

Marcos Alonso – 7.0m – 0 points

Yes Marcos did play, you’re not reading this incorrectly. Marcos was one of the bright sparks for Chelsea, and on another day he could have had a goal if only not for the heroics of Tom Heaton. His free kicks are fantastic and he should be set to take all set pieces within range on the right hand side from now on, the goals will come. As for the goals conceded, Gary Cahill put his side under phenomenal amounts of pressure early on with a stupid foul which caused the team to be down to 10 men. Little responsibility of the goals conceded was to be due to the Spaniard, and Conte is sure to get his players playing to a higher standard defensively than that next week against Spurs.

Sadio Mané – 9.5m – 6 points

Sadio was Liverpool’s best player, creating, driving and impacting their whole game, unfortunately the impact a player makes on a game doesn’t often replicate itself to Fantasy Premier League. Both Firmino and Salah had better returns this game week, and while the extra 0.5m for Mané is looking bad, short term, hopefully the dividends, long term, will pay off. Mané ended with a goal and a yellow card, which could have been so much more. That being said, it is still a good return, with 6 points.

Willian – 7.0m – 6 points

Willian, alongside the reigning Player of the Year, Kante, and Marcos Alonso, were some of the only players which looked liked they cared. The Brazilian looked magical at times, and certainly was the better option between Fabregas and himself, with the Spaniard getting sent off while Willian amassed 6 points, an assist and a bonus point.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan – 8.0m – 11 points

2 assists, 2 bonus points. The Armenian dynamo did it all today, except for score that is. The attacking midfielder even managed to put the ball in the back of the net, only for it to be disallowed for Marcus Rashford being offside on the assist. Micky showed the form which earned him a move to Manchester United, and will most likely keep his position in the side for next week. He was man of the match, every pass was precise, and he contributed massively to all of the attacking work as well as the pressing from up front.

Sergio Aguero – 11.5m – 9 points

Kun scored a beautifully crafted goal by Kevin de Bruyne and David Silva, with the Spaniard passing it first time to the Argentine, who assuredly slotted it away. Aguero may have ended up with 3 bonus points, and a goal, but for large portions of the game was kept under wraps by the Brighton back line.

Romelu Lukaku – 11.5m – 26 points

Oh boy, oh boy. This weeks most likely scorer sure provided the goods this game week, with the Belgian notching 2 and looking like he could have had a third at points. Romelu was fantastic running around the channels and providing United with pace up top, contrasting to that of the excellent Zlatan Ibrahimovic. At the point of writing this, Lukaku is selected by 48.8% of teams, I expect that to go above 50% after this performance.

Manolo Gabbiadini – 7.0m – 2 points

There are some things which odds compilers don’t know, which we as fantasy football players do know. One of these things is that backstabiadini is unreliable in front of goal. Southampton created a lot of chances and the Italian was subbed off at 69 minutes for Charlie Austin. Things didn’t get much better when Austin was brought off and the Saints ended with 62% possession, 29 shots, and only 2 of them on target. The goals will come for the Saints, but the strikers, in this case Gabbiadini, needs to be more prolific in front of goal.

Subs:

Rob Elliot – 4.0m – 2 points

We found him, the bargain basement stopped which is set to start for a Premier League side. The Irishman stopped Harry Kane point blank, and genuinely looked like he could have kept a clean sheet were it not for the stupidity of Voldemort. At 4.0m and with Newcastle’s next 5 fixtures having a fixture difficulty of 2 according to fantasy.premierleague.com Elliot could become a starter instead of bench fodder.

Jason Lokilo – 4.5m – 0 points

Started the game on the bench, which may have surprised some Palace fans, but some have said this was due to the sheer size of the Huddersfield squad. After the poor performance in their first outing de Boer could include the young Belgian in Palace’s next fixture away to Liverpool, one to stay on the bench.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek – 4.5m – 2 points

A lot of positivity has been spread about RLC’s performance for Palace, but he played out of position on the left wing instead of our other substitute Lokilo who played in that position in pre-season. he was strong in possession, looked to move forward and drive with the ball. RLC will be moving up to first choice substitute after that performance. See individual highlights below:

Kevin Long – 4.0m – 0 points

In searching twitter for Kevin Long, all I found were a lot of live free webcam sex video links. I know the Irish international hasn’t had a lot of minutes over the last few years but its good to see he is diversifying his options outside of football.

Realistically though Long was a 5th choice defender who is unlikely to get minutes, but alongside Rosenior he was one of the most likely 4.0m choice defenders to be chosen. In game week 1, not a single 4.0m defender got a point, while Chancel Mbemba came off the bench for Newcastle to play 56 minutes in place of the injured Florian Lejeuene, who even after injury is unlikely to get many minutes at centre back.

Overall:

A good performance with some players less likely to perform to the same standard this week. Once the odds come out around Wednesday an analysis shall be done on the most likely points scorers and we may make a transfer. Time will tell.

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8 comments on “Gameweek 1: Odds On – In Review”

  1. I have Pva, Zaha & Lockilo on the bench with 1.5ITB should i downgrade PVA to Yoshida ( already have stephens) or upgrade Lockilo in order to play with 3ATB to avoid any wasted clean sheets ?

    1. Hi Adam, thanks for the comment and thanks for reading the blog. You have a lot of Palace coverage there, that is true, but you might be best off waiting to see the seriousness of the knock that Zaha got over the weekend before considering getting rid of PvA or Lokilo.

      Also I still think Lokilo could be a good option. After a 3-0 drubbing the coach is always going to consider wholesale changes, one which could benefit him.

      One thing to always remember is to wait for players prior to the gameweek, so many times in the past players have been caught out by other players picking up injuries in training meaning they need to make another sub. Keep the transfer until Friday/early Saturday.

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